Quote:
Originally Posted by D_Lonnigan
Ok Joey. Here is my analysis of why this hand was played incorrectly on every street. Take if for what it is worth.
1) You are targeting or at least attempting to target a "good lag" when you are out of position. This in itself is flawed. You do not try to target an opponent that is balanced and will put you in tough spots, especially when you are out of position.
2) You limp AA and then back raise them to $45 and are met with a call. Pot is now $100 and you have an spr of 4. This will not leave you much room to play multiple streets. The goal at this point is to get it in. We have AA and we want to get it in. End of story.
3) The flop comes A Q 5 and is a great board for us. We flop major advantage. You bet $50. Not enough. We want to bet at least 3/4 pot. Our plan should be to get it in on the turn. If you had bet $80 and are met with a call, the pot would have been $260 leaving you with $275.
4) Spr is now 1 on the turn. We jam comfortably when the turn bricks an offsuit 8. End of hand. We no longer care if he calls or folds. Doesn't matter.
5) The point is we are nutted. We want to get it in. The real question is what other hands do you play like this? When you balance your range in a poled fashion you become tough to play against. You are not maximizing ev by letting your opponent set his own price on draws by checking on the turn. If he has a value hand then you should punish him on the turn by getting it in. He isn't folding AQ, QQ, 55, KJh, JTh, etc. So get it in.
(1) False, as clearly explained in OP, I was targeting the bad loose splashier players, and this situation was not what I was targeting.
(2) Agree that there is not much room for creativity with low SPR, but that doesn't answer how to get the money in, which is going to be villain dependent. With most villains (who are tight/loose passive) you are correct that us betting is the way to get it in.
(3) Completely ignores Villain description and you provide no logic, just assertions. If he is wide pre and decent, by betting as strongly as you suggest we allow him to correctly fold the majority of his weak range. Read Ed Miller's "Playing the Player" LAG Section.
(4) Again you provide no logic, just assertions. Your analysis seems desperate to WIN THE POT! versus making the most +EV play, like winning an even bigger pot. "We no longer care if he calls or folds. Doesn't matter." exemplifies how you are not thinking in terms of +EV but just taking down the pot.
(5) I think I played the hand precisely like KK through the turn and again I think you put him on way too strong a range. I think he has all the draws you suggest + most 1 pair (including PPs) options that sensed weakness on the flop and turn and thought there would be an opportunity for a successful bluff in addition to 2pair/trips draws.