Red Rock poker room on a Sunday afternoon. Villain's stats over roughly 30 hands are 18/4. Hero has played 25/17 up to this point. For this table we are the two tightest players. I've observed one other hand that villain has played and he made a big raise on the turn and took down a decent pot.
Hero raises to $10 from UTG + 1 with K
K
. One call from MP. Villain makes it $22 from CO. Folds to hero, who makes it $60 to go. MP folds, villain calls. Flop Q
J
5
. Hero ?
Considering both villain's tight play and his perception of hero's range, this seems like a pretty bad situation. Since his call closed the action, I can't entirely rule out AA from villain's range. It's more likely that he 3bets/calls with QQ/JJ, and those two hands just made sets. Which line do we prefer to take when we run into these spots? Bet/fold? Check/evaluate? I talked about this hand with a guy later in the session and he mentioned check/raise/fold...but that seems like an expensive option to me, esp with $60 in preflop and villain holding about $150 behind after the flop. Thoughts?