Quote:
Originally Posted by DeathCabForTootie
In game, I call due to the odds we are given, but really the only way we can win is if we turn our hand into a bluff OTR. Given we are readless, that sort of line seems spewey.
What kind of value range can we assign here? If the villain bets the river we have to fold. I can't see a random OMC betting 88 or a busted SD on the river.
Well, we're getting 5.5:1 with another 6 bets of $20 left in stacks, so the stack odds on the call are actually 11.5:1. We're around 20:1 to bink another 9. Can we call the turn simply with the implied odds to bink a 9?
No, definitely not.
But no, the only way to win is not to turn our hand into a bluff on the river... in fact, I am never ever bluffing here. I am OK with seeing a river in position and seeing what villain does. We also have that chance to bink a 9, and though obviously that's not sufficient on its own, it's also a consideration to go along with the possibility our over pair is already best, villain slows down on the river, MAYBE we can even put in a small river value bet if checked to (not advocating that, but a consideration), etc.