Quote:
Originally Posted by Snowball2
H: mid 20s female
Pics?
AQs plays fine as a flat. Your decision mainly depends on MPs opening range. Try to pay attention to how often he's opening, or even better, pay attention to hands he opens and gets to showdown with.
In this situation vs an older guy without any reads I'd probably flat. The wider his opening range, the more incentive I have to 3bet for value, especially in a 1/2 game where people generally do not like to fold to 3bets.
On the flop you should ck/call. I don't think leading is necessarily bad, but there are a few reasons I feel ck/calling is better. First off, by leading out we take away the opportunity for the PFr to c-bet his air. Remember he's going to have air with 2 unpaired hole cards 2/3 of time. Given the fact we have TP and the other two flop cards are low, the chance he has air is even greater. Leading also takes away the opportunity for CO to try to steal the pot when checked to.
You mentioned a few hands you think would check back the flop with marginal showdown value like 77-KK. I don't think should be a huge concern because it's not like were getting 3 streets of value from these hands anyway. We still have the turn/river if villain(s) are stationy to get some value. These hands may also just fold the flop or cbet themselves some% of time. I also think his weaker TP hands are cbetting most of the time.
As far as draws in both opponents ranges, I think there's a pretty decent chance pfr cbets these hands or villain bets them when checked to.
By donking out, we also open up the chance we get raised and are put in a spot which could lead to a big mistake i.e overplaying your hand (stacking off when villains continuing range is stronger than us) or folding when his range is weaker.
As played in this spot, the min-raise could be indicative of a top pair hand "seeing where it's at" so by 3betting the flop, all worse hands may fold. At this point, I would just flat and re-evaluate the turn. I don't think stacking off on the flop without any info is that bad, but 3 bet folding would be awful. If he decides to just go with his worse top pairs and stick it in, it would be an absolute disaster if we fold.