Main Villain - Unknown mid 30s white guy, sat down recently
CO - Reg-type, has 3b a couple of times in the last five orbits or thereabouts
Hero - Not played many hands at the table.

Everyone has at least 100bb.

I'm not too interested in comments about pre. This is a typical nitty fold for me preflop, but I was bored / in a bad mood and called. Don't think it's too egregious. More interested in the river.

Villain in UTG+2 minraises.
BTN three-bets to $16.
Hero in BB cold calls with TT. Villain calls.

Flop ($44): 987
Checks through.

Turn ($44): 6
I bet $28. Villain calls. CO folds.

River ($100): 8
I check. Villain bets $80 within 5 seconds of my check. Hero...???

River is close between calling and jamming. I think I lean towards calling because I expect villain to fold overpairs a decent chunk of the time to a river x/r. Villain won't have us beat very often - occassionally he'll have AJcc-AKcc and occassionally some boats too - but we should be good here at least 75% of the time imo, so I'd never consider folding.

Feel like you misread the hand. Jamming definitely seems insane ap.

Oh maybe the trouble is the typo. Damn, I wish I could edit. I couldn't remember whether the three-bettor was BTN or CO, ended up calling him both in the OP. My bad. Anyway, he's not the Villain.

Yeah that was the confusion. I was under the impression that villain was the 3bettor on BTN, thus I didn't think there were many boats in his range.

If that's the case then I don't see how we can do anything other than call. Villain's bet looks somewhat bluffy - perhaps a busted AcX hand? Villain has shown aggressive tendencies and he seems to have given off a timing tell too by betting too quickly.

I don't always expect to win this pot, but I do expect to win more than 30% of the time, so calling should be profitable here.

I have no read on Villain. He just sat.

In that case it's very close. But my default is probably to sigh call until I have some sort of read telling me otherwise.

You have a 1 card straight on a paired board with a monotone three card straight flop. The card that paired the board is the middle rank of the three card straight, the worst possible card to pair the board. V open min-raised then smoothed a 3! pre, checked in middle position, smoothed a 2/3rd PSB on the turn, and is firing out a 3/4 PSB otr.

What in V's range do you think you are ahead of here, given you are blocking Tx?

Fold pre

Tough spot.

Since we are double blocking a straight, hands that we beat primarily come down to an over pair that rivered top 2. Imho, the question is would the V take this line / river sizing with JJ+ that includes a club?

After we called pre, the min-raiser has many big FD combos in his calling range. While it's difficult to flop a flush, from a combo perspective they are several.

In terms of 2pr/sets, my lean is that they are likely betting the flop rather than risk a check through to the turn. No info, so I'm going on tendencies seen.

Conclusion: fold given that typical players don't thin value worse on this texture.

Not sure if this is a joke or not.

It's a 3 bet...to $16. I mean hell, $16 in a 1/2 game is a standard open pretty often. The fact that it is technically a 3 bet means nothing, he's raising over a freaking min raise.

All other analysis of this hand aside, folding pre is absolutely out of the question in my mind. Can't believe OP suggested it.

River should be a call always imo. If you're beat I'd expect it to be the nut flush a fair amount of the time. I mean if you're wanting to fold 1010 pre for $16 you're at the absolute top of your range.

AcKx, AxKc, AcQx, AxQc, AcJx, AxJc, KcQx, KxQc, KcJx, KxJc, QcJx, QxJc. Typically 1/2 EP minraise players like to chase ime. I also chop with most Tx that he can be overvaluing.

I think before his river bet, I'm a good amount ahead of his range overall. The question is whether an unknown 1/2 player who bets with big sizing otr will actually have enough of his airball and Tx hands to justify calling.