Quote:
Originally Posted by Fl1870
I was confused and convinced myself it was was worth calling but I felt like a fish putting in the 13 bucks...flop Ah kc 10h ....I check and original raiser bets 25 ...1 called...action on me...????
Ok, we got a favorable flop with the 3rd nut flush draw & a gutshot str8 draw.
It's not likely we are up against a better flush draw, as the opener bet $15 & you have the J
& the A
& T
are on the board, so I only see him making it $15 pre with K
Q
vs your flush draw.
We check. Opener bets $25 & the 6 players who flatted pre fold. You call.
The pot was $121 pre [SB folded] & $50 = $171 - $7 rake - $1 tip = $163/$25 = 6.52:1
Why on earth is V betting $25 OTF on that coordinated board into 7 players?
To maintain the initiative with his AQ/AJ & 'see where he's at', trying to get value with a flopped str8 with KQs of some other suit, or just another 1/2 Rec player?
You are at the mercy of your V[s] OTF because you do not have the initiative & are out of position. What if the flop was A
Q
T
, he bets $25 & one of the other 6 puts in a 3/4 pot size raise [$163 after he calls + ~$120] with his TT? You fold or put in your whole stack on a draw?
You 'know' this guy can't be raising that much without KJ or a set & he would have raised pre with AA/QQ, no? Well, I can see a Rec flatting pre with QQ.
If you call & it goes HU, you are putting in ~34% of the money into the pot with ~39% equity vs a set, however, you have ~$40 of your $200 left behind. What are you going to do with that if the board pairs OTT? Fold? Not likely. So get it in now?
So now, you are putting in $185 into a pot totaling $508, or ~36.4% of the money with 39% equity. However, almost 1% of that equity is a tie. A long-term profitable situation for someone with the bankroll to handle the swings. These type situations also come up & if you are not prepared to handle them when they arise, then why play for the easy scenario where the initial preflop opener bets $25 into a $100+ pot, everyone folds, you call & turn the current nut hand?
I'm not saying that I never call $13 in the BB in this situation, as I have & will continue to do so, in a happy game, where I'm running good, up a bundle, liquor flowing, banter all around & I want to make a meta-game 'I'm in a gamble mood like you 'all' kinda' play.' People don't like giving their money to a bump on a log.
"It is not he who acts last who wins the most money, but rather he who acts last most often." - Tommy Angelo
[DISCLAIMER] - I am not a
Crusher at NL because I am not winning 10 BBs+ per hour over my last 2000 hrs of play & I average 1000 hours per year.