Quote:
Originally Posted by Merrell Fan
Is there any other reason why a couple of you think a 2 is unlikely, besides the fact that there are two 2s on the board? If he did have a 2, A2 would be the most likely.
I'm just trying to hone my thinking at the table, live is so different from online.
This.
If this person had AA or KK, when you raised to $20 preflop, they would have reraised then because that's when people will limp-raise because they pretty much know they are ahead at that point. So maybe they speculated with A2 suited and spiked trips, I think that is more likely.
I have a golden rule (although I should have no absolutes in poker) for live 1/2 games where I play: when a person limp-raises pre-flop or check-raises big post flop (I consider your $40 bet being raised to $135 as big), the person raising thinks they have (or might even have) the absolute nuts; in this case, they don't think that you have QQ and hope that you pay them off with hands like AQ, KQ, QJ, maybe even Q10 if you're brave.
At the same time, the complete opposite can be true: someone limp-raising or check-raising big can also have complete air and be on a totally maniac play, but you would have to know the player. Since you haven't played much with him, that means he hasn't played much with you, so the likelihood of being on a total air bluff is very low IMO.