Before I continue on, I'd like to share my thoughts and have some folks comment.
I had absolutely NO idea of what to do here on the turn, mostly because I had never been in a pot like this where it's $450 on the turn in a single raised pot pre.. And we're 7 ways. All remaining players had 200-250, so my concern about shoving was am I ever getting called by worst when I shove? Is QTs-Q7s, QXo, JXo really calling off 100bbs with just one pair? I have always paid attention to how a lot of live players pay attention to absolute bet sizing. Like a 200 bet here is HUGE cause "it's $200", even though here it's less than a half pot bet. Plus, I assumed it was likely that SOMEONE had 22, so I decided to check. Felt at the time that shoving was -EV and I was mostly getting called by worst, and folding out all straight draws, all jacks, and probably some weak queens too. AQ would be kind of surprising to run in to IMO, but I guess it's sometimes possible.
In retrospect (and pretty much after the hand was over) I'm still not quite so sure how I feel about it. I don't want draws to get a potential free card OTT, and there should be a LOT of worst hands out there. If there ever was a set, it'd be 22, but still this is a 7 WAY hand. Something just feels off about shoving in to 6 people with just one pair... Is this incorrect thinking? Maybe I'm a nit. Lol. I do think we can all agree this situation rarely ever comes up. I've been playing seriously for almost 3 years and I can't recall myself ever getting in this type of spot. Thus, I had to post with hopes of getting some serious posters thoughts, which I have so far.
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Originally Posted by eldiesel
OTT shove, great brick. I once got into a 4-way $1200 pot ai otf with just TP and it was good otf (someone had a low fd, someone had 2nd pair+fd, someone had just 2nd pair), my point is just because a hand is MW doesn't mean 1 pair can't possibly be winning. I think you're good here. Maybe AQ doesn't raise otf but I think most else that beats you raises. Sets aren't scared of a dry board but sets usually just can't contain themselves. I've seen a guy raise to 20x on a flop like this, obv get a fold, then flip over a set and say "I couldn't let K9 see the turn for cheap and hit the T."
No fd, some sd's, I doubt 55 is out there. I don't expect to get called by worse but with the pot this big we're protecting our equity and charging any of the 6 sd's too see the river. Not bluffing, but I expect to get folds.
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Originally Posted by Jay S
My reaction is to check out real estate in Maryland.
I don't see how we can do anything but bet again. We're still 7-handed, but we got about the brickiest brick we could've hoped for, we again would hate it if it checked through, and clearly no one here likes folding, so there's definitely more value to be had. Hard to specify an amount without knowing all the stack sizes, but my guess is jamming is fine.
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Originally Posted by Dubey
I'm shipping here. It's a weird spot but you got the best turn card you could have hoped for. The pot Is already huge, and there's a reasonable chance that you have the best hand, and also a reasonable chance that you will get called by worse given how huge the pot is.
Ship it, if you lose, reload and never leave that table.
And that's the quandary I'm having with myself, cause I really do agree with all of this, but my action here said otherwise. I'm pretty sure I misplayed the turn, with my thinking probably incorrect, but hey. That's why I posted this hand. You'll see what I did in the next post.
Fwiw, what worst hands are calling off here though? Is it pretty much exclusively QT and Q9? I would generally think KT and T9 would generally fold for 200+ here.
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Originally Posted by jesse123
Monday night? Really?
Yes? Maryland Live's room is usually 50%+ full on weekdays, always full on weekends?
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Originally Posted by Morph3us
Wow that's really weird.
Not sure if sarcastic. If so, GTFO. If not, yeah I agree.