Villain is very TAG, usually has it but when he was shortstacked with $80, squeezed a $15 raise + 1 caller to $60 and got called. He showed down 89, and chopped the pot with a straight. He squeezed again later w/ AK, got called by AT and got felted. He reloaded for $100 and now has $170.

Hero’s image is solid, has $600, mostly from running good, basically always having the nuts at showdown.

Hero has AK opens to $10 utg
1 caller behind, SB calls, BB calls..

Flop K98 (pot $40)
checks to Hero, bets $30, only SB calls

Turn 7 (pot $100)
SB checks, Hero bets $40
SB c/r $95 (SB has $40 left)

Hero??

He has 2 pair, straight, or set. You should fold. People call raises with 89 all the time.

IME c/r are polarizing. His range hits this board hard so based on the overall info provided this is a fold.

Sadly, this is a fold for reasons stated. I probably would have checked this turn.

Pre flop-the fact that you go 3 callers means you should increase your preflop sizing. I like 12-15 pre flop.

Flop- your flop sizing is good2/3-3/4 psb.
On the turn you make a huge mistake only betting 40 into 100. I prefer 60-75 to gove all draws a bad price. Once he check raises the price is so good I think folding TPTK is a mistake. Your bet looks weak and he could very well be taking advantage of that since he has been squeeze happy this session.

I think the biggest mistake is you turn sizing, I'd prefer a larger bet or just a check. When you bet so small he gets a great price, but if you check you allow him to value on himself. It's hard to get 3 full streets of value from TPTK. When you do a bet check bet line it looks bluffy and allows you to get value from a wider range. Not many tags are going call 3 streets with TPTK

Agree turn size was bad and gave V an easy check/raise bluff if he was so inclined. I still think I check this turn and re-evaluate river. It nails his range.

Ok, so I was the Villain in said hand.

I had AJ, and unfortunately bricked the river and lost. If I hadn’t picked up the gutshot on the turn I prob just call, fold river.

At the time I felt like c/r to $95 and leaving $40 behind looked stronger than a crai to $135. I thought it looked super valuey/never folding/pot committed. It's possible I wasn't gonna get any K to fold in this spot, but I hated just flatting and bricking the river.

I guess you can argue that I wouldn't c/c flop with a set/two pair on such a wet board, so what am I repping?

In all honesty, my play is prob too ambitious at 1/2 against a big stack.

So funny because part of my thought process was the reverse tell of strength with the reraise commitment look. You had some of the 2+2 population folding but I personally thought the line was FOS. The turn really doesn't complete much other than J10. If you really think about the hand from your perspective you made the error of not just Flatting the turn. You we're getting great odds to call with 12ish outs. You could value bet river small the times you get there.

So neither of you played it perfect but it turns out smallish bet got you to induce.

Everything about this hand was on the turn. If I was hero, I'd see it as V either hoping to induce an AI from me or I'd flat then get an AI from him on the river or its a semi/bluff. In that spot, I'd fold like most people.