V1 – 70 + year old man. Sat down about an hour ago and has not played any hands of note other than raising AQ to $15 pre flop and taking down a pot on an Ace high flop. He has a $300 stack as does the hero.
H – Late 20s white male. V has seen H reload from $100 to $300 after losing $90ish dollars with KQ vs. AQ on a Q high board. H was pre flop raiser and V called out of the blinds and the line was donk bet/call for 1/3 pot on each street. This is likely the only read the new villain has on the hero.
The hand in question:
UTG +1 limps, CO limps, BTN limps, Hero limps in SB with 8
8
(sometimes I consider raising in this spot but I have been playing very conservatively pre flop from the small blind lately). Villian checks the BB.
Pot ($10)
Flop 6
5
2
I lead for $10. Now I know the phrase “Tanks” gets thrown out there a lot these days, but the older gentleman who is our villain thinks for about 45 seconds before committing his $10 to the pot. He knew it was on him the entire time so it was a real tank and not him losing track of the action. The first 2 limpers fold and the button who is a very loose player tosses in the $10 as well.
Pot: ($40)
Turn: 6
5
2
Q
Hero leads for $40. Thoughts on the lead out and pot-sized bet? I’m not worried about the Q showing up in the old man’s range but it is possible the loose button limper overcalled with Q9, QT, QJ, etc.
Villain calls the $40 after about only 5 seconds of deliberation this time. Button snap folds.
Pot ($120)
River: 6
5
2
Q
8
So we are now crushing all of the villain’s 2 pairs, pair of 6s, pair of Qs, missed gutshots. Backdoor clubs made it and so did 74 and 79. Do you prefer a lead for value here? If so, why and what bet size? Do we take a check/call line? If we check are we missing out on value from 65, 52, 62, Q6, Q5, Q2, hands? Old man is never ever going to bluff the river on a missed straight draw if I check to him on this river.