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05-29-2010 , 01:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spawnstar
Thanks for all the comments guys.

Basically I think that a raise is the best option as folding is crazy and calling is a guaranteed way of getting drawn out on.

The problem is there isn't really a raise size that won't commit you to the hand. If you raise to less than 50 then you get a lot of callers, and if you raise to 50 or more you can't really fold the turn.

I think it is really close between raising to say 60 or shoving as long as you realise you can't fold any turn as you are committed to the hand.

Anyway, for those interested in the results here they are:

Spoiler:
I ended up raising to 80 (which was too much in retrospect), UTG just called and MP1 and MP2 folded. The turn was a 6h, UTG checked and I shoved my remaining 90. He called and showed down J9. Ship it!
What did BB show up with, or did he fold for the extra $3...well played, as said shoving is worse than raising to about what you did and you're never calling, still think in future spots you should be raising it pre
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05-29-2010 , 05:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aggo
redundant.

Let me be clear.

WE'RE NOT SHOVING BECAUSE HE ISN'T ALWAYS CALLING IT OFF WITH J9o WHEN WE SHOVE, BUT HE WILL CALL/CALL WITH ALL OF THOSE HANDS WHEN WE JUST RAISE.

If you still don't understand this concept and why just raising is infinitely better than jamming, sorry, you just don't get it. Do you understand that you're passing up a billion dollars in EV when you just jam and fish only calls with hands like a2dd, 56dd, AJ etc etc? (hint: WHEN HE CALLS YOU'RE NEVER CRUSHING HIM, even vs **** FLUSHDRAWS. hint #2: he DOESNT ALWAYS CALL WITH WORSE QJ, BUT ALWAYS WITH A2dd, 56dd, AJ. hint#3: WHEN YOU WEIGHT HIS ****ING CALLING RANGE YOU'RE NEVER CRUSHING)

Only like 40% of the deck is bad. Stop being silly. V1 and V2's ranges here ARE SO WEAK. Why shove and remove any abilty to extract value? They have so many bad hands that aren't folding yet. If you think his range is exclusively Jx, FDs and t9 you don't understand ranges. PERIOD.



what boggles my mind is that you immediately think that in order to get stacks in comfortably without weird sizing is that you can only ship flop.



What can i say, i'm right and you're just straight up wrong. How does that feel?
makes sense, I thought we should jam oringinally but I see your side of the argument, But never raise to 34 like some shmuck suggested psr
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05-29-2010 , 07:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aggo
what boggles my mind is that you immediately think that in order to get stacks in comfortably without weird sizing is that you can only ship flop.
good thing thats not the reason I'm shoving at all. But nice try.
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05-29-2010 , 09:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aggo
redundant.

Let me be clear.

WE'RE NOT SHOVING BECAUSE HE ISN'T ALWAYS CALLING IT OFF WITH J9o WHEN WE SHOVE, BUT HE WILL CALL/CALL WITH ALL OF THOSE HANDS WHEN WE JUST RAISE.

If you still don't understand this concept and why just raising is infinitely better than jamming, sorry, you just don't get it. Do you understand that you're passing up a billion dollars in EV when you just jam and fish only calls with hands like a2dd, 56dd, AJ etc etc? (hint: WHEN HE CALLS YOU'RE NEVER CRUSHING HIM, even vs **** FLUSHDRAWS. hint #2: he DOESNT ALWAYS CALL WITH WORSE QJ, BUT ALWAYS WITH A2dd, 56dd, AJ. hint#3: WHEN YOU WEIGHT HIS ****ING CALLING RANGE YOU'RE NEVER CRUSHING)

Only like 40% of the deck is bad. Stop being silly. V1 and V2's ranges here ARE SO WEAK. Why shove and remove any abilty to extract value? They have so many bad hands that aren't folding yet. If you think his range is exclusively Jx, FDs and t9 you don't understand ranges. PERIOD.



what boggles my mind is that you immediately think that in order to get stacks in comfortably without weird sizing is that you can only ship flop.



What can i say, i'm right and you're just straight up wrong. How does that feel?
Ironically you're not within a light year of being anything remotely close to correct, but it's good to know that this gets you irate enough to explode in front of your computer and start jamming the CAPS button repeatedly.

A number of people have noted in this thread that you can't get stacks in comfortably at all by raising without shipping. Do you really find it viable here to make it $65? You would then have to make decisions in a spot where a boatload of turn cards suck when you have $72 of a $190 stack invested. How does shipping a 6d turn feel? Qd? Ah? 7s?

Also, "only" 40% of the deck is bad? Only?

A billion dollars in EV? Really? We're playing an effective 95xBB stack in a cash game in a fairly close spot.

Last edited by KurtSF; 05-29-2010 at 11:56 AM. Reason: civility
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05-29-2010 , 12:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CATCAKE
What did BB show up with, or did he fold for the extra $3...well played, as said shoving is worse than raising to about what you did and you're never calling, still think in future spots you should be raising it pre
He didn't show but it was probably some weak second or third pair.
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05-29-2010 , 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2OutsNoProb
Ironically you're not within a light year of being anything remotely close to correct,


hahaahhAHAHahahahahahahahahAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHAHHAh ahaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahaahhaahhaah

sorry, I never exploded. I just giggled enough at your post to try and get a point across.

Last edited by KurtSF; 05-29-2010 at 02:18 PM. Reason: civility
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05-29-2010 , 02:18 PM
You're both begging the question.

This thread gets locked if you two can't keep away from the attacks.
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05-29-2010 , 08:54 PM
So the argument right now is which option is better. Raising or shoving? Raising allows weaker jacks and FD's to call while shoving lets you win the $84 immediately probably close to 95% of the time. I still think raising and then making tough decisions is more profitable but honestly both plays are fine and there are much more interesting spots in NL. You could do the math on this and if you think weaker jacks are equal or close to as likely as FD's then stacking them should be your first priority. If weaker jacks call a raise 80% (could be less or more but i think this is a good estimate) of the time but fold to a shove most of the time then shoving is a bigger mistake then I first thought.

But if the reason for shoving is fear of the turn card then that is definitely not a good argument. The only argument should be: what is more profitable against my opponents range, look at the combinations of weak jacks and the combinations of Fd's and see what has more combos, whichever has more combos is more likely to be his hand given preflop action. It's just a math problem now and pokerstove can help settle this debate. Maybe I'll come back and stove all the ranges but my intuition after playing over a million hands is raising is far and away the better option. Be back with proof!
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