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1/2 Huge Draw on flop 1/2 Huge Draw on flop

04-27-2019 , 02:07 AM
1/2 210 effective BB is drunk and has been clicking buttons
A few limps in front of me I’ve been experimenting with an over limping strategy after there have already been 2+ limps as isoing will just be inflating the pot and not getting many folds. Only raising hands I’d raise from EP after 2 limps. So I call with T:h: 9:h: and bb (drunk guy) raises to 15 MP calls and I call
Drunk guy was raising every hand if limped to or calling every hand if raised

Flop (50ish) 7 h: 6:s: 5:h: BB bets 50 MP raises 120 with 70 behind he is the effective stack


MP is an older thinking regular who has been known to bluff when players show weakness and pile in his stack with the nuts when players show strength. Idk how relevant this is but he also said “Low and connected flop” before the flop was dealt”
1/2 Huge Draw on flop Quote
04-27-2019 , 04:02 AM
If we give MP a reasonably cautious range by LLSNL standards that now made only excellent hands such as sets, top 2P hands, made straights and NFDs below AThh, we have 33.98%, assuming that drunk guy has all kinds of crazy crap but at least some piece of the board. There's $220 in now so really we can just jam it.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 7h5h6s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 33.98% 33.71% 0.27% { Th9h }
MP3 48.29% 47.41% 0.89% { 77-55, 98s, 87s, 76s, 43s, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h }
CO 17.73% 16.81% 0.92% { 44+, A7s-A6s, K7s-K6s, Q7s-Q6s, J7s-J6s, T8s-T6s, 96s+, 86s+, 72s+, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, J7o-J2o, T7o, 97o+, 87o, 76o, 65o, 54o, 43o }
1/2 Huge Draw on flop Quote

      
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