Quote:
Originally Posted by Javanewt
Wow, I'm never paying of a club here, but I'd never play AK the way V2 did, but pretty hard for him to fold with his stack size.
So, V1 we have to assume is never putting $50 in the pot and folding for his last $50, no matter what he has. He's shoving. There will be ~$330 in the pot on the turn. V2 will have $135 left. Are we folding a blank? Seems pretty gross. If we aren't folding turn, why not just shove the flop?
V1 started the hand with $100.
After V2 raises the flop and we call, V1 will shove. The betting wont be reopened so We will both call making the pot $300. Not $330.
V2 will have $150 left. If the turn bricks (as it did), hes probably going to shove. We will need 25% equity to call. We have 27% equity vs AK so we can still call or fold. EV is about the same.
If the turn had been a J we are winning a monster pot.
If the turn had been a club, hes in a sticky situation. Hes in a spot to make a really bad mistake by check/calling our shove if we have a flush and in a spot to make a really bad mistake if he check/folds and he had the best hand. Most people call too much, especially when the pot is this big. My guess is he calls...or maybe he shoves a club anyway and hopes we have something like AcTx. People do stupid things when the pot gets this big.
The whole point is that we dont have to shove the flop based on this flop action. If we had called a raise with this same hand, we should be shoving over a Cbet from the preflop raiser because we will have max FE. When there we Cbet, theres a call and then theres a check raise, we have close to zero FE and us shoving isnt mandatory. We can call or fold depending on the math.