Quote:
Originally Posted by momo_uk
So if you’re sure about problematic cards falling on turn, don’t you want to keep the pot smaller? What if turn went x/x and V bet river? Same dilemma.
I feel like a book could be written on this, but briefly, most factors here don't argue for keeping the pot small. We have position and a strong hand.
"Keeping the pot small" or "pot control" is one of those old-school poker ideas which is the right idea for the wrong reasons. It's true to some extent that OOP you want to keep pot size down because the automatic positional advantage your opponent has is worth more in real money terms the bigger the pot gets. In position though, there is no inherent advantage to a smaller pot. Often we don't value bet what is probably the best hand, but that's because our opponent can't call enough worse hands to outweigh the better ones, or because we realize that if we bet this street, value betting the next street as well won't be possible. When people check in those spots they'll often say "I wanted to keep the pot small" but it's an inaccurate way of thinking about it. It's really consideration of how much value can be obtained and when the best time is to go for it.
The problem with wet boards is not really that you might get drawn out on, it's that so many cards are action killing (and I realize I put "your hand is fragile" in my first reply, which is also inaccurate. I more accurately mean "there are a lot of turns where you can't value bet"). Turns like 7, or A, or a heart, all make it really hard for me to get any more money out of the opponent, even though I'm likely still good most of the time. On a drier board I can take things slower and get the value over multiple streets. So I guess a one-sentence answer to why I want to bet larger here is that I think it's generally going to be easier to get value here than it is on later streets.