Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
I shove on the turn every time here. 3 reasons.
1) I think based on his line that he could easily have a variety of hands that will call. Normally this line means he has a pair and picked up a draw.
2) If a diamond hits the river and he shoves, hero could easily make a big mistake by folding if he doesn't have the flush
3) Shoving here stops people from using these confusing lines against you. Its almost always better to put pressure on other people and stop them from putting pressure on you.
This is weird form of MUBS.
1) It isn't normal for him to have a pair and a draw given the texture and action. He'd need [T
K
] PLUS another diamond. That's just not a big part of his range. Plus, this isn't a normal line anyway, so it's not normally anything. What Mr. Curious said is pretty close; it looks like a made hand that is worried about the new draw in addition to the flopped draw.
2) It's unlikely the dealer peels a non-pairing diamond, it's unlikely villain spazzes and shoves, and at that point the pot would be so big hero likely just CIOs. It's much, much more likely that if a diamond peels, villain has a dead hand and surrenders.
3) We don't care whether people use confusing lines. We don't care whether they "put pressure" on us. He donk-overbet the pot, so what? They can't put bad ideas in our heads; it doesn't work that way.
Per David Sklansky, the perfect strategy is a defensive strategy. We are willing to take the optimal line no matter whether other people are doing weird things. We should deviate from GTO
ONLY if we are
CONFIDENT it increases our EV.
Last edited by BadlyBeaten; 04-02-2016 at 12:09 PM.