Quote:
Originally Posted by Sunnyvale
If his range looks like AA-99,AKs-A5s,98s,98o,KQs-K2s on the flop then you seem to be way ahead of his range once the Q hits. Of course the fact that he raised you on the turn really narrows his range down unless he is would semi bluff raise here. 60: 220 - 3.5 to 1 on a call and you have outs on top of that. So we can rule out you folding to that bet for 60$ more. I'm not sure but with top pair I would think calling here would be fine because you have a hand that can win at showdown and can also see your flush card, if you raise you risk having to call an all in.
I guess it depends on the exact range that you give Villain. Most of the time I think the Qc hurts our equity, it doesn't help it. I'm not even sure whether we're bluffing or value-betting with our roughly 1/3rd pot bet on the turn.
Board: 8s 4h 9h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.675% 48.55% 00.12% 26436 67.50 { 88+, AhKh, AhTh, Ah7h, KhTh, JTs, 98s, JTo, 98o }
Hand 1: 51.325% 51.20% 00.12% 27879 67.50 { QhJh }
Board: 8s 4h 9h Qc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.460% 53.69% 00.77% 1252 18.00 { 88+, AhKh, AhTh, Ah7h, KhTh, JTs, 98s, JTo, 98o }
Hand 1: 45.540% 44.77% 00.77% 1044 18.00 { QhJh }