Example 1 Final Results:
I decide to check/evaluate. In game I felt concerned about how I was going to get three streets of value against a conservative looking player with top pair weak kicker. Wasn't sure if I could get a call from a weaker hand the majority of the time OTR; I realize the prime targets for my bet are 99 and 88, but the speed of his call on the turn made me worried about overpairs.
Villain quickly bets $55 and appears very comfortable. I think for a little bit and end up folding.
On the surface, I know this appears weak. In my defense, however, I'll throw in a hand I later saw with this villain:
Hero opens J
J
to $12 in MP. Villain calls in HJ. BTN calls. Young Asian player makes it $45 from BB. Hero folds. Villain calls.
Flop Q65hh. Young Asian leads for $55, villain shoves for $90 more, young Asian calls. Young Asian shows QQ, villain shows AA.
So this seemed like the kind of guy who got off on calling with big hands on early streets and then coming over the top after the initial action. Doesn't mean that I couldn't have folded the best hand, but I really do think JJ+ was within his range when he bets $55 on the river.
All in all, I think my standard play should be to b/f $45 on the river in this situation to get value from 7x/88/99 and make it less likely that I can get confused and fold the best hand. In this particular situation I think it's a bit closer between b/f and x/eval.