1/2, $450 effective, 9 handed.
Hero has an aggressive image, probably TAG to villain, if she's even thinking that deeply. 20's WG.
Villain is a 30's WW, playing LAG, small-medium loser, bluffs a little too frequently. Hero only has about 20 hours experience with villain, but has a read on villain, paraphrasing action from a hand exactly a week ago:
Three limpers to villain who raises to $15 OTB, bad TAG calls BB, and fish limp-calls LJ. $400 effective with BB, $200 effective with fish.
Flop ($41): Q
9
3
. X to villain who bets $20 and only BB calls.
Turn ($81): 6
. X-$40-c.
River ($161): K
. BB leads out for $50, villain raises to $175, and BB tank open mucks K
T
, villain mucks, hero is sitting in HJ, villain's bf whispers "flush?," she whispers back "no, A
Jx, that was scary af." Seemed very genuine, and don't think they think anyone heard.
OTTH
Villain opens $10 CO, loose passive calls BTN, and hero calls BB with Q
9
.
Flop ($31): 9
8
4
. Hero checks, villain bets $15, BTN folds and hero calls.
Turn ($61): 3
. Hero checks, villain bets $30, hero calls.
River ($121): 2
. Literally every single draw imaginable misses. Is this a great opportunity to lead for $30-$40 with the intention of calling off any bet?