Quote:
Originally Posted by PolProf
My read is this guy thinks I'm just stealing his blind. I don't know why, just something about the way he bet so I figured he's doing this with a big part of his range here. After thinking for a moment, I decide to shove on him.
I think you made a mistake here. I really don't think that $1/$2 players are even conscious enough about their blinds to be making a read like this.
For his 3-betting range I gave him all pairs and AKs, AKo, AQs, AQo, AJs.
Against 22-JJ, AQs, AQo, and AJs you're a slight underdog. 49.4% to 50.6%
Against QQ-AA, AKs, and AKo you're a huge underdog. 28.6% to 71.4%
You're a huge favorite against AJs. 70.8% to 29.2%
I think that he's most likely to fold 22-88, AJs, and maybe AQs/AQos but calling with everything else.
I gave him a pretty wide range here and would speculate he wouldn't be 3-betting you with less than TT+, AKs, AQs, and AJs in this spot.
Last edited by owlberteinstein; 05-22-2014 at 09:53 PM.