Villain is young-ish and just sat down but gave me the impression that he is a thinking player. He has $200.

I have $200 as well.

Folds to Villain in MP at a full table, and he raises to $10. Folds to me in the BB and I decide to just call with AK. I'm not sure yet if $10 means something for this player vs a more normal $7 open.

Pot: $21
Flop is J43. I check, he bets $12, I call.

Pot: $45
Turn: 3. I check, he checks.

Pot: $45
River: K. I bet $20.

Thoughts on all streets welcome, what should my plan be if Villain raises river?

Seems fine.
Meh. Readless, I'd prolly have to fold if he raised the river.

If he just sat down - you really can't read anything into the sizing, I think. I'll go to the same casino and the 'standard' open for the night ranges from $7 - 15.

You could 3bet obviously - but I'm totally fine with the smooth call. However - when we miss - there's no shame in just passing on calling with 2 overs OOP. If you are going to call - I think you need to have a plan beyond hitting your card.

OTT - fine.

OTR - What's our objective here? I presume we believe we are ahead. His turn check might indicate a AK/AQ type hand or an underpair to the board. So I would think the objective is value... if he's on the hand range we think... he's fairly weak and likely won't payoff a big bet. However we have to be very careful here... If we bet too small - he might well overvalue his AK and make a big raise that makes us uncomfortable. $20 feels too small. I like $35 b/f.

Well, my take is Villain is not raising from mp holding 34. I see Villain's flop play as wanting to get a few more dollars in the pot if he hits his hand.

On the Turn, Villain acts as if he caught air...Maybe, maybe not, we don't know.

I think the river bet is reasonable. If Villain missed, he may or may not call depending on what he thinks of you.

If Villain raises, you know he not only thinks, but is tricky too. I'm folding the river to a raise over your bet of $20.

I fold flop, we are OOP and whiffed. We're usually drawing to 8 outs and it's tough to call a second barrel if we don't spike OTT.

River I make it more, probably $35. If he has a K, we get paid, he could also pay us off with a Jack or even mid pockets because some villains are ******ed. I muck if he raises river.

flop is probably a fold I think. Otherwise not bad. I like river bet if we can call a bluffy looking raise.

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"We're usually drawing to 8 outs"

6 outs FFS

I wouldn't mind a river check to induce a river bluff from him. He doesn't seem to have much, so if you bet, he likely folds, but if you check he might bet to try to take it down. Also, if he does check, you should get him to show down so you can see what hes playing, help in reads that much quicker.

Masta--

Yeah, I think checking river here is probably best. I was thinking after the hand that he doesn't often have a J here (because I think he would bet the turn), so anything he calls the river with probably bets for value (KQ, Kxs) and he also probably bluffs that river a lot when he has air, and we don't open ourselves up to being raised. Only reason betting is better is if he calls with 55-TT here. For a similar reason, I think betting larger is probably better than the $20 I bet.

I called the flop because I felt he would c-bet here nearly 100% and that I was still ahead of his range and didn't feel he would double barrel much having just sat down a couple hands ago.

Another crazy thought of mine afterwards was that I could check/shove river as a sort merge play given that I have the A. Either he will think it's extremely fishy and call with KQ or he would fold everything other than boats. Probably a bit psychotic though.

Results: He called and MHIG.