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<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot <img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot

10-22-2016 , 04:39 PM
Effective stacks are 175BB ($350)

V is playing passive pre, not as much limping as the rest of the table, but not opening more than 5% of pots himself. He has short stacked for the last 3 hours, lost 2 $60 bullets and ran this one up to $350. Not too impressed with his play in general. Has a tattoo of the King of Clubs on his forearm.

Hero has AK in the CO. EP opens to $10, 1 caller, Hero raises to $45, V calls OTB other guys fold.

Flop($110): 9KQ

Hero bets $65, V calls

Turn($240): 9KQA

Hero has a PSB left. Fire it all in here every time? Ever going for a C/R? Ever making a smaller than PSB?

What kind of range does our passive V have on the turn here vs our line?
<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot Quote
10-22-2016 , 07:05 PM
You called him passive pre, but you don't mention his play post. With no reads and the straight and flush draws, we wanna go ahead and GII now, I think. X/r unlikely to be a good line unless he is a bit bluffy post, same with x/c. With no post reads, we need to put it in now.
<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot Quote
10-22-2016 , 07:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Buster65
You called him passive pre, but you don't mention his play post. With no reads and the straight and flush draws, we wanna go ahead and GII now, I think. X/r unlikely to be a good line unless he is a bit bluffy post, same with x/c. With no post reads, we need to put it in now.
Sorry, he was pretty passive post flop. But in previous hands he had taken the initiative when checked to. He wasn't involved in many hands where he didn't end up all in. But the rest of the game he had been short stacked, only recently had a couple double ups. He is more likely to shove his stack then call it off with a week hand. Saw him call off $40 of his $60 by the flop, and fold for his last $20.

IMO he was willing to get it in with TPGK type hands when he was short stacked (don't know how larger stack size affected his game), and I didn't see the hands he folded obviously.
<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot Quote
10-22-2016 , 08:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NelsonWelson
He is more likely to shove his stack then call it off with a week hand.
Then we can go ahead and bet 1/2 PSB OTT and call it off. I am loathe to let him draw for nothing, but 1/2 PSB should be good for non combo draws.
<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot Quote
10-22-2016 , 08:04 PM
You should have ~$250 left on turn as you stated, I like about a 175-200 bet on the turn simply for value, were obviously never check/folding the turn so the range that beats us is kind of irrelevant so lets just focus on the hands we DO beat. If were including gutshot+pairs,flush draws,smaller 2 pairs then shoving can potentially get alot of those to fold out, even at 150-175 there is less than a 1/4 pot bet left OTR so if the river bricks we can easily GII to worse hands or check call and not feel terrible on diamond or T/J rivers.....

Its nit-picky but i like thinner value on the turn to keep in 2pair + combo's.....I mean isn't your whole goal in poker to give the opponent 3:1 odds when he has 5:1 chances for a huge part of your stack?
<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot Quote
10-22-2016 , 08:46 PM
Bigger flop bet or smaller, depending on your strategy. Go three streets with small sizing and jam river for ~half pot, or go two streets to set up turn jam.

As played, jam it in. Too awkward to bet 1/2PSB vs his draws and ship river for 1/5PSB or something like that.
<img /2 AK Turn Decision in a 3-Bet Pot Quote

      
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