Saturday night at Mirage. Table has been pretty loose.
V1: Asian guy, sports coat, 50s. VPIP/PFR of roughly 40/10. $80.
V2: Asian guy, t-shirt, late 30s. VPIP/PFR of 60/0. Sat down about two orbits ago. Started with $200 and won a big pot in which he b/c a 3
6
8
7
turn with Q
J
and hit a 4
river. $330.
Hero: White guy, t-shirt, late 20s. VPIP/PFR around 16/12 right now. Haven't won any big pots lately nor have I shown down anything in the last half hour. $500.
On to the hand:
Folds to V1 who limps button. Hero finds A
K
and raises to $13 from SB. V2 calls, V1 calls. $35 in pot after drop.
Flop: A
8
8
. Hero checks, V2 quickly bets $25, V1 thinks for about ten seconds and slowly calls, hero raises to $75, V2 calls without thinking too much about it, V1 folds. $210 in pot.
Was it a big mistake for me to x/r rather than lead out OTF? My thinking is that by checking I allow club draws and smaller aces to bet out. When I raise I think I can continue to get action from both clubs as well as A9+. I know I only have a pair at this point, but I think it should play pretty well against my opponents' range in a 3way single raised pot.
Turn: A
8
8
4
. Hero bets $100, V2 shoves for $130 more. Hero ???
Do we think V2 can frequently be making a push at this point with A9+? I don't love the spot, but as played it seems like there has to be enough A9+ in his range to call getting 4.2:1.