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1/2 AA This For Value or Bluff?

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01-20-2016 , 06:58 PM

Evoxgsr96

self-banned

Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 2,137

1/2
10-Handed/Full Ring
(3-bet pot)

(UTG) Hero $340: A

(BB) Villain I $280: Unknown just came to table, have seen him bluffing in the past when he is stuck sort of agro...

Has been a fit-or-fold table so far... not much action suprisingly

Preflop: Hero limps for 2, 7 other limpers, BB raises to 30, Hero 3-bets to 100, everyone else folds, (HU to the pot with BB), Pot = 210

Flop, Pot = 210
K

V x, Hero x

Turn, Pot = 210
Q

V x, Hero bets 75, V raises all-in for 185

Baluga Thm? X back the turn, are AA too good to bet/fold here and instead pot control...?

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01-20-2016 , 07:00 PM

bwslim69

I'm a Diva, Bruh

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 24,927

you need to range a little bit but basically you shouldn't be folding post flop

b/c flop

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01-20-2016 , 07:26 PM

MIB211

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 3,010

So heading to the flop pot is $210 and V has $180 behind? You need to gii on all but the worse run outs. I either shove flop or go $80 flop, shove turn. Probably the latter.

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01-20-2016 , 07:27 PM

alienbogey

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 152

Pot control? With this SPR?

SPR is less than 1:1 on flop and you have AA. Autopilot bet $90 on flop and $90 on turn to get his stack in.

All kinds of analysis could be done, but you have no reads on V and IMO above is all that's needed.

If he has KK or rag set it's a cooler, if the free turn card you gave beats you then kick yourself in the nuts and reload.

As played, call it off.

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01-20-2016 , 07:28 PM

QuadJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 6,237

Pot is bigger then villain's stack on the flop. Your not folding an over pair without specific history with this villain that says he can always beat an over pair when he moves in. The queen is a bad card in the sense that a lot of villain's plausible hands now beat you but villain with AK could do the same thing since they have too much money invested to fold either.

There is no point in trying to disguise your hand once you limp/raise. Just bet the flop and get your money in then.

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01-20-2016 , 11:59 PM

Nice_Guy_Eddie

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 2,135

Never folding. The SPR is <1 and I'd just shove the flop. Your hand is face up when you l/rr. It's fine to check the flop if you plan to gii on all turns.

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01-21-2016 , 12:13 AM

Hardball47

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 13,301

Turn bet looks speculative and weak. Looks bluffy. Call.

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01-21-2016 , 12:18 AM

WereBeer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 10,700

Your line looks FOS, so snap it off.

I would much rather bet the flop and shove turn.

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01-21-2016 , 12:22 AM

Mr_Doomed

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 1,629

Quote:

Originally Posted by Evoxgsr96

1/2
10-Handed/Full Ring
(3-bet pot)

(UTG) Hero $340: A

V x, Hero x

Turn, Pot = 210
Q

V x, Hero bets 75, V raises all-in for 185

Baluga Thm? X back the turn, are AA too good to bet/fold here and instead pot control...?

If you know a about baluga that's a great step but there is a lot more to poker than that. The limp 3bet is only good an loose aggressive tables not tight tables. As played the flop is the easiest shove for value on planet earth. As played the turn is an easy shove/bet call. You got the villan to put in more than1/3 his stack, you are never folding and you certainly aren't bet folding.

Look at pot commitment and SPR(stack to pot ration). Hopefully you'll realize this is a standard spot and it's just unlucky that villan had KK OR QQ

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01-21-2016 , 12:27 AM

#10

philepistemer

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 554

Only folding if villain is a confirmed super nit.

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