South Florida
Button Straddle to 5
SB folds
BB ($140) calls (MAW Lady,has rebought 100 twice; I lost a pot to her when I bet 2 steets w OESD IP, river XX and she shows top 2; She also minraised turn w TPGK on draw-heavy board in srtaddle-limped pot)
4 folds
LP calls
Hero($300) raised to 17 A
A
. (Standard raise is $7-$11 at this table, and only one guy raised in another straddled pot w KK to $20.)
BU folds
BB calls
LP folds
Pot ($42)
Flop 2
5
7
BB ckecks, Hero bets 25, BB calls
$103 eff stacks
$92 pot
Turn is J
BB Checks, Hero bets $35, BB XR $70
Pot is $162, It costs hero $35 to call. If I call we have $33 eff ...
SO,
Should I be shoving here? Against a range of flushes, sets, two pair, TP w FD
that XR the turn, I am 39%.
w A
I think its good because I think she stacks off w TP hands w a heart, sets, two pair. With A
I have 57% since it takes Axhh from her. I don't think shes the type to XR combo draws since she's generally passive.
Calling seems ridiculous because of stack sizes.
Folding is also hard here.
Should I just almost always fold non-nutted hands to a turn XR from a middle age lady in South Flordida?