1/2. Hero MAWG plays a tag style mostly. I'm tighter than the rest of the table, but have been caught raising light in position several times, also shown down the goods and won a lot of pots w/o showdown.

Hero has red AA in the BB $400ish.

V1 UTG. Short stack $65 no reads.

V2 MP: Tighter than most at the table. Pretty ABC. About $200

V3 CO: Looser and more aggressive than most of the table. Sticky with draws, any piece. Pretty good hand reader tho, so not a spew monkey. Covers Hero.


4 limps + SB to Hero in the BB who makes it $18. I figure this will get it 3 way or heads up with V3 most likely never folding here.... but all V's call. So here we go.

Flop: $75ish 578ss. Hero checks. Even though check through would be bad, I don't believe this will get past V3 if it checks to him.
V1 shoves $47 or whatever. V2 tank calls. V3 mini-tank calls. The pot is now $220, hero facing $47 and has $380 behind.

Jam

Main vil has to raise 2pair+ here 100% of he has a quarter of a brain,protect your hand, absorb the variance from the nit.

With this logic, what is your plan facing a bet from vil 3 otf?

Forgot to include this, based on the action, each successive V was less likely to be ahead. V1 was a mystery, but he's almost unimportant. V2 my thought was almost certainly going to raise if he had 2p+. I considered it a mortal lock that V3 did not have 2p+.

As that action unfolded all I can honestly say is I was hoping V3 did not 3! otf. I would have had to tank and really think about it.

Is this read based on previous observed behavior or based on projecting onto them what you would do in their place?

Shove for sure. There's OE and FD out there and the players who tank called are so much more likely to be on draws than have 2P+. Anyone with 78 for example would have raised.

Theres $220 in the middle. You would love to take it down right here or if not, charge the draws the max to try to get there.

I'm not going to do the math for you, but if someone is really interested in putting in the work doing analysis away from the table, I suggest comparing the value of shoving the flop here vs calling and shoving a safe turn.

Jam-a-Rama. Bunch of tank calls are hoping to hit their draws. Disappoint them.

Do you have the As?

I had red AA.

I think everybody here is correct.
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