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1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? 1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold?

05-25-2014 , 09:19 AM
Reads: Young, mid 20s white guy who seems decent. I think I've seen him in this room before, and he seems like a good TAG. He recently won a big pot where I thought he made a good, thin river value shove with QQ though the river completed a flush draw. My image is tight, but only based on like 3-4 orbits (it was a brand new table that opened).

An EP limper. Folds to villain in the Hijack (2nd seat to right of me) who makes it $6. I think this is a good sizing tell that he's got a speculative hand. I make it $20 on the button with AA. Folds to villain who calls. $150 effective now, and I plan to commit on a lot of flops, but realize that I cannot commit too readily, since I have offered him great implied odds pre flop.

Flop: QQ10. He leads for $20. I flat. Turn: 9. He bets $25. Hero?
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-25-2014 , 09:21 AM
Obv Call lol
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-25-2014 , 09:43 AM
You're calling $25 to win $130. You're probably behind because of bad turn card, but I peel one more than reevaluate river.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 01:55 AM
Grunch: calls... If we are calling flop let's just call turn. Shove if he cks river, otherwise prob call
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 01:58 AM
I make it 25 pre. I'm going into calling station mode once he leads out on this flop/turn
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 02:23 AM
I would fold. This is a really thick board against a solid opponent who is betting in to us. You're getting about 5 to 1 to call but most likely only drawing to two outs.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 05:40 AM
I think I raise/fold the flop.

AP with this super small lead Im calling and eval river.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 05:53 AM
Shove turn. I'm not folding AA with $150 effective in a 3b pot ever. If he has a Q well good for him. Way too many draws out there to lose value by just calling turn.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 06:02 AM
That flop looks hideous, but it's not as bad as it looks, given the tiny raise pre, and the likely bet sizing tell. I would have raised his donk flop bet $40 -- $45. If he reraises big, then fold. If he calls, re-evaluate on the turn.

As played, call that ridiculous turn bet and hope it was a post oak bluff, and not a teaser to entice a raise. Check back river, fold to a river bet of any decent size, ship it if the Poker Gods are in a good mood and you boat up and hope he was speculating with pocket nines.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 10:07 AM
$150 to start the hand?

I'm committing on 95% of boards. Including this one. Esp since we dont have the A so he has a lot more diamond draws in his range.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote
05-26-2014 , 10:47 AM
I actually think turn could be a raise because he has lots of JT type hands with equity. I think he basically has Q not that often, and if he does we pay him off. As played I Just call and call all bricks.
1/2 - AA gets bad board, when to fold? Quote

      
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