Quote:
Originally Posted by CWsports
415/95 = 4.4:1 so you only have to be good 18.6%
That's the mistake when people think they must be good only 18.6% (and it's not 18.6 but 22.73)
That's not the right question of what percentage "we got to be good" ?
The correct question is this:
Is the villain BLUFFING around 22.73% in this situation or less?
If the villain's not bluffing over 23%, you lose money when calling. That's the math.
In small-stakes games like the one above, you should nearly always assume that your opponents are bluffing less frequently when they shove all-in representing a hand you cannot possibly beat it. Therefore, you should always fold whenever your hand cannot beat any of the hands your opponent is representing with his $180 shove. The above idea applies in small-stakes games. In this case the villain is representing a flush or any of the possible Sets. It’s absolutely critical to understand this principle because if you don't you'll be up against a mathematical wall impossible to penetrate.
Last edited by GenghisKhan; 10-16-2017 at 06:39 PM.