Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
... but I am bumping this up to $100-$120 and shoving brick turns (any non A, 7, 2 or heart).
You need to add 4's to your non-brick turns. I'd say 2 6's also aren't bricks.
So A,7,6,4,2,heart = 23 cards = half the deck. And not all bricks are bricks - possible heart draws easily contain broadway cards Ah, Kh, Qh, Jh, Th, etc., and when people continue, over cards can well hit them.
OP, lead the flop the first time around for value.
As played, I think the c/r is FPSy bordering on spew. We're readless. Old man puts money into 5-way pot and got 3 callers. I'm not thinking I have a huge amount of fold equity. Yes, your c/r is both a semi-bluff (hope over cards and/or draws fold) and for value (hope lower pairs and/or draws call). We often make plays for semi-bluff and value - for example, MP opens pre, we 3-bet with AK; we may expect 66 to fold (semi-bluff) and AQ to call (value).
As played, call the flop and play the turn.
Leading the flop yourself should be better than c/r 4-way readless. You can get value from 6x, hearts, 4x, 77, 44, maybe 22, etc., and you can also get those over cards to fold, achieving your semi-bluff. It's going to be a high volatility hand (e.g. you bet 35-40 on the flop and get some callers and go to the turn and need to dodge a turn of cards, etc.), but I think it's still +EV to bet for value.