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1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG 1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG

07-23-2019 , 06:50 PM
Yes, another poorly played pair in EP hand, here we go:

Preflop:
UG straddles to $6
LJ ($610): Hero raises to $15 with 99
BU ($1700): 3! to $41. Villain is possibly the best live player I have ever seen. Plays for a living (all stakes), very wide range preflop, very good at raising on any street if needed, great game sense (can make very difficult but correct folds) a true LAG imo. More info below if interested.
BB ($510): calls $41. Fishy but aggressive player
Hero calls

Flop ($131): TT4
BB checks
Hero checks
BU bets $90
BB folds
Hero calls

Turn ($311): 8
Hero checks
BU all-in
Hero action? (Hero remaining effective stack $379)

Villain probably (but still possible) isn't nutted - I would expect him to bet smaller for value if he had Tx, flush, maybe QQ+

I was fairly certain he had something like JJ/AJ/AQ/AK/QJ/Q9/J9 with one spade.

But should I really be calling it off here?


Example hands earlier in the session involving main Villain (V1):
1. V1 opens UTG+2 to $15, three callers.
Flop: 9s8c3s. Bets $35, V2 calls.
Turn: 6c. Bets $55. V2 raises to $200. V1 calls
River: 4d. V1 checks. V2 all-in $547. V1 tanks, calls.
V2 shows AcKc. V1 shows Js8h.

2. V1 folded a small flush on the River to a LP raise. LP had the nut flush.
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-23-2019 , 07:29 PM
Fold. There are wat more combos of hands we don't beat than we beat.
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-23-2019 , 07:35 PM
No limps between you and the straddle? Even if the answer is no limps raising the straddle from 6 to $15 at any 1/3 game I've sat that deep is way too small. This is live poker the good players will know that $15 is going to result in a very multi way pot way too often making their equity smaller and pots harder to consistently win. BU uses an interesting 3 bet sizing, I'm not sure if he's sizing down to keep you in or to keep the rest of the table out. At any rate once the BB calls we are multi way and OOP against the 3 bet who is the best player at the table. We don't have odds to set mine here. If we think BU is 3 betting wide we can 4 bet bluff with what could be the best hand. Otherwise I'd just fold against said opponent. There will be much better spots to stack off with. Either make it $26+ and fold to the 3 bet or limp / call to set mine. AP, V is not slowing down on many turns, why are we calling flop? If we think we are good then raise otherwise fold flop, passively calling it off is fine vs a maniac but you are telling me this is the best live player you have ever seen who is capable of folding big hands and making crazy calls. AP, our hand hasn't gotten any better on the turn, still folding.

Note how in example hand 1 this V opens to $15 normally in an unstraddled pot and gets calls from mostly premium hands making his decisions easier since his Vs have more narrow ranges. I don't know how he makes those calls, perhaps there is more history there otherwise he's a station and you should be blasting away your value and getting called by much worse.

Example hand 2 shows he has a fold button and is paying some attention which is why I'm making my decision pre flop on this hand and picking a better spot since we induced the three bet by opening too small and resulted in a 3 way pot against a random and an uncapped LAG who may be the best player at the table.
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-23-2019 , 09:17 PM
Snap. Show him who’s boss!

More pre w 4 blinds out there.
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-23-2019 , 10:24 PM
i honestly might just call pre here given our position and stack size
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-23-2019 , 11:09 PM
Lol this is one of those hands where you make a difficult call and you're ahead but V has 30% equity and ofc hits on river
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-23-2019 , 11:38 PM
It would be really spewy to play offsuit QJ/Q9/J9 like this. His main bluffs are going to be AsQx+ and other AJ/KQ with one spade. It's easy for a good player to be overbluffing if he doesn't mix these combos, but I'm not trying to out-exploit him here. I'm just playing my own range and I think 9s9 is a call. I think it's the very bottom of my calling range. He really can't value bet all overpairs on this turn. We have some Tx, boats and flushes.
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote
07-24-2019 , 03:46 AM
I would probably fold the flop, but if I didn't, I'd call the turn.

Raise a bit more pre.
1/2/3NL: 99 vs. very aggressive LAG Quote

      
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