1/2 ~100BB JJ against unknown
02-21-2016
, 05:42 AM
Hero recently sat at the table and has played 2-3 orbits and is known to half of the table, except villain. People have been getting out of my way and check-folding post flop. Played three hands, two of which were raise pre and c-bet, and one of which was 3-bet IP and c-bet. Image is TAG.
Villain is MAWG with WPT shirt (don't ask, idk, but it tells me he's not a noob), mid 40s, play seems standard, nothing unusual.
OTT:
Straddle, UTG limp, V (~$200) raises to $12, folds to hero in CO.
Hero reraises to $32 with J
J
(~$250).
Folds to V who calls.
FLOP ($75):
8
109
Villain checks.
Hero bets $50.
Villain check-raises all-in to $170.
Hero?
Villain is MAWG with WPT shirt (don't ask, idk, but it tells me he's not a noob), mid 40s, play seems standard, nothing unusual.
OTT:
Straddle, UTG limp, V (~$200) raises to $12, folds to hero in CO.
Hero reraises to $32 with J
J (~$250).Folds to V who calls.
FLOP ($75):
8
109Villain checks.
Hero bets $50.
Villain check-raises all-in to $170.
Hero?
02-21-2016
, 06:33 AM
We have 32.6% equity against a set and we're getting 2.46-1 on a call so yes, even if he shows us a set, we call.
If he shows us QQ we only have 24% equity and need 29% to break even so we could fold.
Against KK and AA we're doing much better with 38.3% equity (If no spade, 36.1% if they do have a spade) so we'd call those too.
Add in the chance he has some sort of combo draw and it's a snap call!
I'm new to the math on all of this so someone please correct me if I'm wrong
If he shows us QQ we only have 24% equity and need 29% to break even so we could fold.
Against KK and AA we're doing much better with 38.3% equity (If no spade, 36.1% if they do have a spade) so we'd call those too.
Add in the chance he has some sort of combo draw and it's a snap call!
I'm new to the math on all of this so someone please correct me if I'm wrong
02-21-2016
, 10:28 AM
