Well played. I wouldn't 3! pre into six players. You should 3! for value in this spot, not as a bluff with AJs. Flop and turn are all calls. Raising only gets called by better and you let his worse Jx hands fold. The river plays itself and you're getting as much money in as possible.
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Originally Posted by AcePlayerDeluxe
Honestly the real question is this...
a) if the jack doesn't hit the river are you calling it off getting 3-1 OTR assuming the board doesn't come a A,K,Q? I don't see too many V's 3 barrel bluff at that level. If we are folding the river does that mean we should be folding the turn facing a nearly 80% pot size bet?
b) if he checks the river when it doesn't come a jack, and the river is not a A,K,Q, are we betting? If so how much? (I would bet like half my stack... and puke if it's a c/r).
I agree these are more interesting questions.
Hero is losing to 17 combos on the turn, JJ+/99. Villain has 30+ combos hero beats, KJ/QJ/JTs/KQ and some AK/garbage. Hero should call.
I would call all river bets, unless a K or a Q hit. I might sigh fold because villain almost always beats a pair of jacks. Hero should never rule out spaz bluffs, but I think you lose too often to make calling profitable on K/Q rivers.
I would bet/fold if villain checks back non-K/Q rivers. Target worse Jx hands that might call. Villain almost never bluff check-raises and should fold all of his missed hands.