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1-1 NL AA river decision 1-1 NL AA river decision

11-01-2014 , 12:22 AM
Hi there, never posted in this forum but i'm dabbling in live games a bit so decided to post this hand, which had me wondering a bit.

The game is a very loose 7 handed 1-1 euro home game, already quite late in the evening. Hero had been playing fairly TAG, and up until then I'd won almost every meaningful pot i've played, showing down the winner a lot. Stack around 700.

Villain is in his early 20's, seems a somewhat decent and agressive player who had been running really well tonight and had a good profit. He was 3betting quite a bit, but probably more often from late position. Stack ~750.

LAG player opens to 6 euro (pretty much the standard raise so far) from UTG, everybody folds to villain in SB who makes it 18 from the SB.
He had been both min3betting and making slightly larger 3bets like this one, I wasn't sure what to make of that, if anything.

I have AA in the BB and make it 44 euros. UTG folds, Villain calls quite fast.
His 3bet range is probably something like 99+, AJo, KQs, perhaps some suited connectors as well. imo he's pretty much calling the 4bet with most of his 3bet range, considering we are deep enough. (i probably lost some value by not raising to 55)

Flop: 10 5 7x: , Villain checks, I bet 40, villain raises to 100. I call. - Both raising or folding don't make much sense to me, but i'm open to other opinions obviously.

Turn: 4: Villain checks, I try to find a reason to bet, cant find one and check behind.

River: 7x: Villain waits 2-3 seconds and shoves allin for almost 600, more than 2x the pot. Hero??

Any thoughts and opinions are appreciated.
1-1 NL AA river decision Quote
11-01-2014 , 12:43 AM
You really only have a bluff catcher. I can't imagine him doing this wih a worse value hand except maybe KK and probably not even KK. You need to be good ~40% of the time to break even. Your hand looks a lot like QQ+ if he can hand read. I'd fold here.

He can't have the nut flush but I think you are underestimating his 3bet range. I think he can have TT or a SC like QJhh, 98hh, J8hh, 86hh, or trips like 76s, 97s.

4bet bigger pre. I'd 4bet to $80 pre to deny set mining odds and set up a low SPR. Your sizing is too small and priced him in
1-1 NL AA river decision Quote

      
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