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1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board 1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board

01-29-2018 , 11:28 AM
Hi all,

I have another hand to submit to your expertise.

Classic 1/1 Victoria casino table. A lot of limps, very small pots. I am actually the only one at the table who raises all hands preflop. Villain is a 40 y/o woman, she is a bit more aggressive than average woman at 1/1, actually more aggressive than the the rest of the table. Also, she runs crazy good and has built a decent stack of 300bb. Though, I never saw her bluff in 1 hour, she always showed paper.

Hero has no particular image at the table, especially not with villain.


UTG+1 limps
Hero UTG+2 raises 6BB with AK
2 player calls IP
Vilain in SB calls
UTG+1 calls

Flop comes: AJ6

Hero Cbet 1/2 pot
Only Villain calls

Turn: 2

Hero bets 2/3 pot
Villain calls

River: 2

Villains leads with pot bet


What's your decision?
1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board Quote
01-29-2018 , 12:59 PM
It's really hard to see the Villain calling a 2/3 pot bet on the Turn with a flopped set, given the turn is the 4th heart on the board, but I guess it's possible that they might just be really sticky and don't want to fold their set?

I know you said the Villain has only shown the goods to this point, but I think I have to call it off here, folding seems too nitty.
1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board Quote
01-29-2018 , 01:59 PM
Really hard to fold if you allow any lower flushes in her range. I do think boats are in her range, low stakes villains hate to give up sets before the river even if they think they are beat. Any chance she is over playing AJ? Would she play QhJx this way?

In the right situation I could find a fold but I'm probably calling this off against most opponents.
1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board Quote
01-29-2018 , 04:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by QuadJ
Really hard to fold if you allow any lower flushes in her range. I do think boats are in her range, low stakes villains hate to give up sets before the river even if they think they are beat. Any chance she is over playing AJ? Would she play QhJx this way?

In the right situation I could find a fold but I'm probably calling this off against most opponents.
Agree with lots of people not willing to fold sets until river.
I am going to guess hero sigh called and was shown JJ or 66...
1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board Quote
01-30-2018 , 06:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soreass3
Agree with lots of people not willing to fold sets until river.
I am going to guess hero sigh called and was shown JJ or 66...

I actually folded face up and asked her if she could be nice and show her hands. She indeed had 66.

I could not make any hands that made sense for her. I assume sometimes, she could have valued queen high flush but I thought, she more often had JJ, 66 and sometimes A2.
It was a close spot, that's why i was interested by your opinions.
1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board Quote
01-30-2018 , 02:51 PM
Disciplined fold, good read. I don't know that I could have got away from it.
1/1 London Victoria - Nuts flush on paired board Quote

      
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