Quote:
Originally Posted by HiroNakamara
There's a tough lesson to be learned here: Don't talk strategy with with other regulars.
+2
The reality is that this is a classic semi-bluff dilemma and why it works. He's risked $95. If he has air, he's putting no more money in the pot. You on the other hand are making a decision for $250. If you call, he gets to decide if he's putting you all in on the turn or get a free card. If you shove, he gets odds to call with a FD. Obviously calls with a set or even 2 pair. From a game theory basis, he's indifferent to you calling, shoving or folding. Even if he doesn't realize he's done this.
As for you, you're ahead of a FD, but behind a set or 2 pair. I'd call and check the turn. If he has the FD, he'll gladly take the free card, but you've gained in equity if the turn is a blank. If he bets again, I'm done with the hand and fold. I'm going to rely on the fact I can still have TT and 88 in my range by flatting the flop raise and even flatting the turn.