Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 10,468
Check/call.
If you bet, he probably folds his air/floats and calls his better hands, even middling pocket pairs, given pot size in relation to stacks and the turn card being a blank.
If you check, he'll probably bet his entire range into to you. Too bad you have very few reads and don't know if he would float you here, but this is a very dry flop and is a decent spot for villain to stick around with worse aces or even air.
If you check/call and are behind, you almost always have 6 outs. That's obviously not sufficient in itself, but the 12% equity is very helpful here.
If you check and villain checks back, that strongly suggests he has a pair 33, 55-TT, a monster, or a J of some sort, likely average kicker. I doubt he folds any of those hands on the river. That means you are done with the hand and should give up on the river if you whiff and value shove if you hit. I guess you could ship a Q river as a bluff. I don't think he folds otherwise.