Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
OTF, UTG+1 limped and then called a 3-bet witht he first raiser yet to act. There are almost no 9's in his range, which is almost all PPs or draws,
If the read is that +1 is looser and on aggressive side, his preflop action pretty much narrows his range down to 22 - 99, A2s - A9s, A3o - A9o (hard to assess his love affair with Ace-off), bunch of random broadway cards, and lots of SC and connectors.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
and you are ahead of almost all the PPs he could limp call pre with.
Yes, but he would never donk bet in this spot when hero's perceived as tight.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
If he had JJ+, he would have raised in the first place, yes? really the only hands in his range that beat you are 89s and 9Ts.
20 combos of T9, J9, and A9, and add 8 more if you think Q9 is in his limp/call range.
I doubt 98, 88, are ever donk betting here. LLSNL players just don't bet that big on the flop with nuts unless there is some well defined history.
Then there are draws:
A2s - A9s, discounting A9, there are 7 combos. Not sure whether 8 was
or not, but you're looking at roughly 6 or 7 combos. We can also add 8 combos of JT, making it roughly 15 combos. We can also add more combos if we can figure out whether 8 is
or not, but then we are starting to add a lot of 2 and 3 gappers.
So ya, without more information, it's hard to say that we're good in this spot.