This is probably pretty trivial, I just want to make sure I'm not missing anything.
I'm on the button with A
K
after 3 limpers and I raise. Both blinds and all limpers call.
12sb, 6 players, flop 6
7
8
It's checked around to me. This is a slam-dunk check, yes? I have to confess that before this post I had never actually stoved this situation, but AKo actually has 6% equity against 5 ranges of any pair, any suited, any 2 broadways and any ace. And that's without adding the offsuit connectors and one-gappers SSHE players are so prone to play.
The only reason I'd even CONSIDER betting is to avoid giving a free card to a flush draw or oesd or even a gutshot or pocket pair, but it's not going to be a mistake for most of those hands to call anyway. I also get paranoid sometimes about turning my hand face up, but I need to get over that.
Even if the turn is a complete blank like the 2
our equity actually DROPS to 5%, and we have zero chance of winning the pot, so even if by some miracle it's checked around to us again it's a slam-dunk check-behind.
Interestingly (to me at least), if the river is the K
we actually have 40% equity. If it's checked around to us on that river, I would have to consider betting because someone with two pair surely would have bet before the river. I'd curse and call one raise but fold to two.
One more tidbit - TT has 21% equity on that flop and AA has 23%. I think I would bet any overpair on the flop if checked to and call one raise, then re-evaluate on the turn in position.