Quote:
Originally Posted by DougL
DalTXColtsFan, work through this hand in its other variations. Rainbow board with 0 or 1 of your suit. 2 flush board with 0 or 1 of your suit. Also, how does this change if you have a top card of an A?
OK, coming back to this with a fresh mind:
SSHE says to count overcards as 2.5 outs when there's a flush draw (9 outs) that might be out there. If your top overcard is a Q, there are 6 cards (3 Ks and 3 As) that could come that you don't want to see (assuming there's both a K AND an A in one of the villains' hands, which is not always the case). If your top overcard is a T, there are 12 cards that could be out there.
Without overcomplicating the math, I think it's a small mathematical mistake at worst to say that 3 K outs are "just as clean" as 3 A outs, and to say that the 3 Ts are worth 2.5 outs when 3 Ks would be worth 3.
Rainbow board with 0 of my suit: I give the Ks 3 clean outs and the Ts about 2.5 since overcards could outdraw them.
Rainbow board with 1 of my suit: The same 5.5 outs plus 1 for the backdoor flush draw.
2-tone board with 0 of my suit: I give the Ks 2.5 outs and the Ts about 2.
2-tone board with 1 of my suit: The same 4.5 outs plus 1 for the backdoor flush draw.
2-tone board with 2 of my suit: I be jammin and I hope you like jammin too.
This look a little better?