In the post situation you have a blind out there; in the limper situation you have nothing out there. 4-1 sounds much better to me when I have a bet in the pot already.
I think if you are going to get pwnd a bunch when you post then waiting for the big makes more sense.
If you are uncomfortable defending wide or raising wide or playing 3-bet pots out of position with a weak range then posting seems like a bad idea... unless you want to get better at these spots or wish to embrace the challenge of the situation.
Also... if Flopzilla is a good resource, looks like 74o is at the top of the bottom 15% of all hands.
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
74 | 32.35% | 3,283,213,228 | 99,129,176 |
30% | 67.65% | 6,918,878,460 | 99,129,176 |
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
74 | 31.24% | 2,179,872,936 | 56,081,084 |
20% | 68.76% | 4,832,436,892 | 56,081,084 |
I'll admit I haven't done the work on these spots before but it seems rather intuitive to me. Also, if you are playing well postflop you should win more than your fair share of pots - like when you flop a gutshot and play it aggressively when they have air or bluff boards that are favorable to your range and unfavorable to their range, etc.
Last edited by TheDarkKnight; 04-18-2018 at 05:04 PM.