Quote:
Originally Posted by maestro7037
Im the criticizer. I agree with all responses in that 77 obv will play WAY better HU vs SBs range + dead CO money. I know both Villians, obv my reads influenced my advice. My opinion was that several things had to go right to not be hating life: 1) CO has to fold, my read is he calls 2 far more often than folding. 2) You don't want a 4! from SB, playing a capped 3-way pot 2nd to act with 77 blows. My sim has Hero at 35%, SB at 40%, and CO at 25%. Hard to capture that equity in the middle of the action.
While I don't think it's a slam-dunk call, I do think there is merit in considering a call at 5:1 with the combination of an unlikely fold from CO, 4! potential from SB, and meh position.
In a vacuum, easy 3! Flame away.
Also, your sim is way off based on op description, no way a LAG isolating a limper has anything but a wide range. It's more like
(Equity, Win, Tie)
Player 1: 25.1% 24.3% 1.62% {99-22, AJs-A2s, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, ATo-A2o, KJo-K2o, Q9o+, J9o+, T8o+, 98o, 87o} [Loose limper]
Player 2: 35.8% 35.0% 1.64% {22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, A4o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo}
Player 3: 39.1% 38.8% 0.76% [7h7c]
In the rare cases you get 4 bet you still have position and an excellent idea of what LAGs now narrowed range is so you get to play super optimally against it.