Quote:
Originally Posted by dead.money
Don't online pros and B&M pros have bad years? Don't they have downswings...ad months? Now if, somehow they could have predicted that those months would be bad they could have made adjustments. The whole "long-term" thing lol...how long is long enough? and once you get to long enough are you guaranteed that the percentages will hold up? As for the second part...I don't know? MAYBE there are forces out there..hence, the horoscopes, etc...just maybe...and hence my wondering if it would be worth anything?
Set up a computer program to generate a random number, 1 or 0. Run that program for a significant portion of time. While the distribution will be 50-50, there will be times when you get 20 1's in a row. This is just variance.
Yes, players can run badly for weeks or months. But that isn't because some arcane metaphysical force called 'luck' was against them, it was just the result of random variance.
If you believe in things like horoscopes or other superphysical, quasi mystical forces which you believe control random chance, you should probably just stop posting here, as it is a ridiculous belief, and you will be mocked mercilessly(and justifiably).
Luck is a quality that can be used to describe uneven variance retropectively. it is not a quality that has any kinds of predictive value.