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A draw. A draw.

12-17-2018 , 12:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Munga30
folding has an ev of zero. check folding isn't the same thing and might not have an EV of zero.
Checking guarantees a minimum zero ev. If checking is ever negative ev, something is being done terribly wrong.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 03:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
I choose the guaranteed zero ev line because of mongidigs reads. However without those reads I would bluff the river.

...

If you guys want to bluff the river because you think it’s profitable, I think you have some studying to do.
By "studying" do you mean "putting more weight in mongidig's reads"? Or are you saying that you would make an unprofitable bluff without those reads?
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 03:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
Checking guarantees a minimum zero ev. If checking is ever negative ev, something is being done terribly wrong.
Check-folding guarantees a minimum zero EV. Checking alone is insufficient unless you're assuming you're playing perfectly when your opponent bets.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 10:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aaron W.
By "studying" do you mean "putting more weight in mongidig's reads"?
No. I mean studying river ev to the point of knowing that river bluffs are only profitable vs players that fold too much.

Quote:
Or are you saying that you would make an unprofitable bluff without those reads?
It may be an unprofitable bluff vs the segment of the player pool that calls too much, but it's not necessarily unprofitable.

Quote:
Quote:
me: Checking guarantees a minimum zero ev. If checking is ever negative ev, something is being done terribly wrong.
Aaron: Check-folding guarantees a minimum zero EV. Checking alone is insufficient unless you're assuming you're playing perfectly when your opponent bets.
If you're making -ev plays after checking, it's not the check that is -ev, it's whatever you do afterwards that causes the loss of value.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 11:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
No. I mean studying river ev to the point of knowing that river bluffs are only profitable vs players that fold too much.

It may be an unprofitable bluff vs the segment of the player pool that calls too much, but it's not necessarily unprofitable.
I still don't understand why you've been hitting this point repeatedly when nobody at all seems to really be saying something to the contrary.

Quote:
If you're making -ev plays after checking, it's not the check that is -ev, it's whatever you do afterwards that causes the loss of value.
Especially when it's HU on the river, it is not unreasonable to consider your entire line instead of just the immediate action.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 11:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aaron W.
I still don't understand why you've been hitting this point repeatedly when nobody at all seems to really be saying something to the contrary.
I'm stating facts in response to your questions. I keep saying it because it's really that simple. You consistently attempt to figure out what I really mean as if I have some hidden agenda, when I'm really just stating facts. If you dispute the facts as I have presented them, then by all means dispute away. If you're going to try to read between the lines like you always do, you're not going to find anything there because there's no agenda nor hidden meaning.
Quote:
Especially when it's HU on the river, it is not unreasonable to consider your entire line instead of just the immediate action.
If you want to nitpick my wording, I'll reluctantly attempt to clarify. It's not unreasonable to consider the entire line, but if you are going to pick apart what I'm saying, I'm going to pick apart the ev sources for you in my attempt to clarify.

Do you dispute these facts?:

In equilibrium, checking will always have a non negative ev.

In equilibrium, bluffing the river heads up out of position is 0ev.

If the opponent calls too much in the situation posed by mongidig, bluffing is -ev.

If the opponent folds too much in the situation posed by mongidig, bluffing is +ev.

If you don't dispute these facts, then you're just giving me a hard time with zero benefit to the discussion.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 12:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
I'm stating facts in response to your questions. I keep saying it because it's really that simple. You consistently attempt to figure out what I really mean as if I have some hidden agenda, when I'm really just stating facts. If you dispute the facts as I have presented them, then by all means dispute away. If you're going to try to read between the lines like you always do, you're not going to find anything there because there's no agenda nor hidden meaning.
Fair enough. I just find it extremely odd that you went after another poster for stating that betting is good if "he folds [the] river enough" by going into some sort of extended position about how if he calls enough then betting the river is unprofitable.

Quote:
if you are going to pick apart what I'm saying, I'm going to pick apart the ev sources for you in my attempt to clarify.
I'm not going to play tit-for-tat with you. I have been seeking one thing, which is to bring clarity as to why you've argued the line that now ends by saying "If you guys want to bluff the river because you think it’s profitable, I think you have some studying to do." It's clear to me that this is not really about "studying" but about the assumptions you're making about your opponents. This goes all the way back to the initial post that I responded to.

Quote:
If you don't dispute these facts, then you're just giving me a hard time with zero benefit to the discussion.
I'm "giving you a hard time" because you seemed to argue something that didn't make a lot of sense in context. A poster says "if he folds often enough, then it's profitable" and you responded with "if he calls exactly often enough then it's 0 EV."

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/s...6&postcount=12

I don't really see the value to such a counter and so I inquired and asked you to elaborate. I still don't see the particular merit in that as a counter-argument, but I'm satisfied at this point (based on your statements that you made) that you basically didn't really respond to the poster at all, and it should be viewed as a separate thread of thought.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 01:15 PM
Ninefingers is one of the most reasonable, level headed, and nice posters in here and I don’t think he took much exception to what I said, if at all. I wasn’t “going after him.” I was attempting to clarify the idea that he presented, which I thought was a bit incomplete.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 01:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
I wasn’t “going after him.”
It's amusing to me that you put "going after him" in quotes when I used no such phrase or made any statements to that effect.

Quote:
Originally Posted by me
A poster says "if he folds often enough, then it's profitable" and you responded with "if he calls exactly often enough then it's 0 EV."
...

Quote:
I was attempting to clarify the idea that he presented, which I thought was a bit incomplete.
I didn't really perceive the idea as needing clarification or being "a bit incomplete" but to each his own, I guess.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 01:40 PM
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I just find it extremely odd that you went after another poster for stating that betting is good
Hmmm.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 01:45 PM
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I didn't really perceive the idea as needing clarification or being "a bit incomplete" but to each his own, I guess.
Am I to apologize for engaging in poker discussion now?
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
Hmmm.
LOL -- Whoops. I didn't remember using that phrase.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
Am I to apologize for engaging in poker discussion now?
You're free to post on whatever you choose to post on. You don't need my permission to do so. And (unless I've forgotten something else that I've posted) I have not asked for you to apologize for anything ITT.
A draw. Quote
12-17-2018 , 07:37 PM
Aaron you're doing it again. Please stop.
A draw. Quote

      
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