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Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded

11-03-2014 , 10:05 PM
Ohnoes! Another winrate question!!! :O I couldn't find this specific question in the search, however.

What's the currently expected attainable winrate for FLH in HU and shorthanded play (up to 6 max) for stakes 3/6-8/16 (online)?

There was a reg at FTP before black Friday that was 3.5bb/100 at 3/6, 5/10. The games were listed as 6max but there weren't always 6 players at the table--sometimes less. Anyway this grinder was making over 100k/year, consistently, and his graph was a beautiful, smooth line upwards. He played as high as 20/40 but his winrrate was much smaller there. He was crushing 3/6, and 5/10.
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-03-2014 , 11:13 PM
three fifty sounds about right
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-03-2014 , 11:23 PM
I think 3.5 big bets per 100 hands (after rake, but before rakeback and bonuses?) is not even close to attainable online right now. I'm not sure what is, but more HU and shorthanded targeting weaker players would obviously boost your winrate. But the best I seem to hear of is around 1.5 BB/100 if avg players at table was like 4 or something. I'm not even 100% on those figures bc it's all pretty much anecdotal.

Last edited by MacauBound; 11-03-2014 at 11:24 PM. Reason: ahhh, maybe 3 fiddy. maybe
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-03-2014 , 11:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MacauBound
I think 3.5 big bets per 100 hands (after rake, but before rakeback and bonuses?)
Good question. Idk. It's what was listed on PTR. That obv wouldn't have included rb and bonuses but I'm not sure if it factored in rake.
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-04-2014 , 12:26 AM
People that won 3 BB/100 were massive bumhunters and/or constantly buttoning people which is basically cheating. They were not playing regularly and winning 3 BB/100.

Pretty easy to crush poker if your sessions last 1 or 3 hands.
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-04-2014 , 05:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ativan
Ohnoes! Another winrate question!!! :O I couldn't find this specific question in the search, however.

What's the currently expected attainable winrate for FLH in HU and shorthanded play (up to 6 max) for stakes 3/6-8/16 (online)?

There was a reg at FTP before black Friday that was 3.5bb/100 at 3/6, 5/10. The games were listed as 6max but there weren't always 6 players at the table--sometimes less. Anyway this grinder was making over 100k/year, consistently, and his graph was a beautiful, smooth line upwards. He played as high as 20/40 but his winrrate was much smaller there. He was crushing 3/6, and 5/10.
many heads up players had winrates that high or higher, and PTR tracked hu play at ring games as ring play/winrates. no one was making 3.5 or higher over big samples in non-hu play. maybe the best ring grinders were making between 1 and 1.5 in their ring play. most of the best players were at least comfortable hu (and therefore sh) and so could increase time spent in profitable spots because they'd increased their game selection. that would skew their PTR winrates though.

the answer to your question will depend somewhat on what sites you are talking about. the usa-facing sites (bovada, carbon) have softer lhe games than the world-facing sites (pokerstars, etc), but no rewards to augment winrate. the world-facing sites have tougher games but do have some rewards.

either way, lhe has declined a ton online. there are way fewer games than before BF.

hu lhe is mostly dead everywhere - i imagine if you bumhunted multiple stakes across multiple sites (as the HU "regs" still do) you could still make 3 or 5/100 if you were playing only fish

6m or fr - anything near 1/100 (pre-rb/bonus/etc) would be really excellent and put you in the top group today

also, i realize you are using bb/100 (big blinds) but we typically measure winrates in BB/100 (big bets), which are double the bb. so that might be affecting your nomenclature (or it might not). my numbers in this post refer to big bets (BB)

who's the FTP player you're thinking of?
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-04-2014 , 08:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBadBabar
PTR tracked hu play at ring games as ring play/winrates. no one was making 3.5 or higher over big samples in non-hu play.
True. This particular player, whom I railed many times, would play a lot of hu at 6max tables. That is probably the reason his winrate was inflated (at 6 max games).

Quote:
also, i realize you are using bb/100 (big blinds) but we typically measure winrates in BB/100 (big bets), which are double the bb. so that might be affecting your nomenclature (or it might not). my numbers in this post refer to big bets (BB)
My mistake. I was thinking bb. That changes things significantly lol.

Quote:
who's the FTP player you're thinking of?
Round Up RD. I played against him a lot.
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-04-2014 , 08:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ativan
True. This particular player, whom I railed many times, would play a lot of hu at 6max tables. That is probably the reason his winrate was inflated (at 6 max games).



My mistake. I was thinking bb. That changes things significantly lol.



Round Up RD. I played against him a lot.
Yes, he was/is very strong. A nice guy too
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote
11-04-2014 , 08:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBadBabar
Yes, he was/is very strong. A nice guy too
Yes, very nice indeed. Does he still play?
Current expected ceiling in earning FLH, HU & shorthanded Quote

      
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