Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
I open in the LJ with AsTc and only the BB calls. He is a TAG. He's probably flatting pre. He sees me as a fellow TAG.
4s7c8h...BB checks, I bet, He raises, I call.
4s7c8hQd...BB bets, I call.
4s7c8hQdKc...BB bets.
He could be barreling a missed straight draw. I think he would bet most of his 8's and better on the river. He may just check/call a 7 or a 4.
Is this hand worthy of making a river bluff raise? I'd be targeting a pair of 8x 99-JJ. I'm thinking he would call a Q.
Is my turn call correct.
Is it better to check back this flop?
I would bet 100% of my range on this flop. If you were in the CO or BTN I would consider a checkback because the board is arguably better for his range than yours, but in the LJ I think you should bet.
I probably just fold turn but I don't know that it's correct.
I don't love the river raise. You're targeting a really narrow range, you're not really repping anything credible, and some (many?) of the hands he would fold to a raise are hands you beat anyway. Is the thinking that you want to turn the bottom of your bluff catching range into a bluff because you're already investing a bet?