Quote:
Originally Posted by Montrealcorp
up to what pp you advocate to bet/fold?
I don't know. As I said, with 99 I'm raising preflop, and that changes the feel of the hand and the size of the pot. Add 2 BB preflop and the pot is over 20% larger to start the river. That's pretty significant. The reason I'm more okay with a bet-fold in a smaller pot is because opponent's risk/reward for bluffing is worse.
Do bad players think about that? Probably not, but maybe. However, it doesn't matter what they think or fail to think. We can model them as bluffing X% of the time. We may not know what X is, but the bigger the pot is the more likely it is that calling is the correct counter-strategy.
So because of the increased pot size (assuming I raised preflop), I'm more inclined to want to show it down. Whether I'll bet/call or check/call will probably depend on what I think of the opponents at the table. If I feel like get raised here basically never, I'll go ahead and bet it (and hate life if raised, but pay it off). If there's some reason to believe that my opponents are a little more aggressive, I'll check-call.
What I imagine when I think of a typical 8/16 table is that this would be a bet/call. A river raise here would surprise me quite a bit.
Going downward in hand size, I probably bet/fold 66. I'm probably checking with 33/44 in this spot because now I'm not value betting against hands like 5x. It's probably check-fold at that point, but I might be persuaded into a check-call.
Edit: If you know your table, I don't mind bet/folding even with bigger pairs and raising preflop. But this is dependent upon table conditions and not something I would do as the default.