Quote:
Originally Posted by Aaron W.
Any exploitative strategy is open to be counter-exploited. That doesn't make it wrong.
Yup.
Firstly, it's okay to bet/fold *sometimes* in a game theoretical sense. Many people do it too much, mostly as a symptom of playing players who never show up with a bluff in those spots.
But if the pot is 8 after your bet and a dude raises, he's risking 2 bets to win 8. So as long as your not folding more than 20% of the time, he won't make automatic $ with his bluffs anyway. So it's okay to throw a few hands away.
In general though DM, you're right. Bet/folds are playing with fire (as my KK hand from awhile ago shows). It's usually a good idea to not be a hero in FL facing single bet decisions.
But Aaron W is also right here. If you're playing a truly good player, then they won't be making the same decisions against different opponents. Like I know a guy who has a history of checking behind hands like A6 on AK4-6-9 on the river for...reasons unknown. And he's never shown down a bluff in years of play. So yeah, when he raises the river, hero folding A4 could be valid, as absurd as it looks to us. But just because a guy is wiling to make a huge fold to a guy like that, doesn't mean he's willing to do the same to an unknown entity. And good players also have a good grasp of frequencies, so they can tell when their opponent's are out of whack. Given how rare turn and river raises are, it'll catch the attention of your potential bluff targets fast.
Last edited by jdr0317; 04-20-2018 at 11:41 AM.