Quote:
Originally Posted by callipygian
The flaw is this: sometimes you get to raise both streets, and sometimes you get to raise more than once. If you raise the flop, maybe JJ will 3-bet and then you get to cap, and then you get to charge 87 (which is never folding the flop) four bets. And sometimes the turn bricks off and EP redonks because JJ is still an overpair and you get to raise the turn anyway. And sometimes EP bets the flop with AsKs and then checks the turn because his equity has changed drastically.
I get that but i for fun use those 4 hands you enumerated.
AA vs JJ , AsKs and 8d7d .
Of course the chance of exactly those hand are vs you are low but if like lawdude said about 7 handed pot and me when i said 5+ players, having that kind of ranges ( with some player mix in between them folding the flop with weaker hands ) it should not hard to represent some decent reality.
AA 28%
AsKs 36%
JJ 6%
8d7d 30%
and if you wait turn and the 2h for example it now the hand changes drasticly.
AA 50%
AsKs 21%
JJ 4%
8d7d 25%
And if a bad turn card hit, well it did not matter you did not put much action on the flop because you werent that ahead anyway.
here it is 4 handed so the number of player might not be too much critical yet but when you exceed 5+ , their is a lot of hands agaisnt you where AA is probably not a favorite.
Dry flop even 7 handed i would not have a problem jammimg flop with AA even if we were 6 to the flop
Last edited by Montrealcorp; 09-10-2017 at 03:35 PM.