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2019 NC/LC THREAD - No problem 2019 NC/LC THREAD - No problem

04-20-2019 , 03:56 PM
I forgot how obnoxious variance is. I'm running at almost 2 BB/hr over my first 4 sessions back in years and I am still wondering if I'm making huge mistakes because of 20 BB swings happening mid session last two times.

Last edited by DrHoldemPhD; 04-20-2019 at 04:05 PM. Reason: Spelling
04-20-2019 , 04:38 PM
I lost every session for a month straight (about 400 total hands because I play once a week for 3-4 hours), and I finally booked a winning session yesterday.

I was stuck over 40 bets early in the session and clawed back to about 20-25 bets stuck before I set over set over setted on the flop and won a 30+ bet pot. That is what it took to book a slightly positive session for me.
04-20-2019 , 07:40 PM
When you have to hit an absurd hand like that to book a win you know you're running bad.

I can't empathize though
04-20-2019 , 09:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by that_pope
I lost every session for a month straight (about 400 total hands because I play once a week for 3-4 hours), and I finally booked a winning session yesterday.

I was stuck over 40 bets early in the session and clawed back to about 20-25 bets stuck before I set over set over setted on the flop and won a 30+ bet pot. That is what it took to book a slightly positive session for me.
Tis a fickle game at times.
04-21-2019 , 02:55 AM
Just wrapped up 5 hr -50 BB session. Only can think of two loose flop peels that I'd do differently.
04-21-2019 , 12:57 PM
Haha I’ll throw my crappy hat in the crappy ring: I’m on a ~200 BB downer which includes 10 losing sessions out of 12 and the only significant winner included getting two full houses in the big blind in limped pots with 94o and 85s
04-21-2019 , 02:02 PM
I haven't had a losing session since April 9th.
04-21-2019 , 02:04 PM
I bet that was the last session you played, you nit 2019 NC/LC THREAD - No problem

Sent from my moto z3 using Tapatalk
04-21-2019 , 02:11 PM
A few months ago, I had a few bad sessions in a row. But I just kept playing my best poker, knowing that it would turn around eventually.

Then I had a session where I started off in the first couple of hours losing to a few bad river cards. I didn't tilt and just kept playing. A few hours later, I had grinded back to a small win, and I decided to quit for the day. Finally, a winning session. I was racked up and looked down at my last hand of the day, and I had 99 ... and the flop was Q93 ... and I lost to 66 who went runner runner, turning a small win into a small loss.

Just keep playing good poker. That will work in the long run. The NEXT time I went to the casino - I hit 2 inside straight draws (with odds to draw), I won with 99 against 5x and 6x on a board of 556...6...9 (neither opponent raised until the river, so I thought I *might* be up against something like a straight draw and an Ax), and most of my big pairs held up. That day wiped out several of the past losing sessions.

What comes around goes around - just keep playing good poker.
04-21-2019 , 05:16 PM
In the last 1.5 years I’ve had a 150BB upswing, a 200BB downswing, a 350BB upswing and a 150BB downswing playing 20 and a lilttle 40. Pretty amazing how you can feel unstoppable and like you’ll never win again, all while playing the same fundamental game.
04-21-2019 , 05:31 PM
I'm a little over breakeven now so in 24 hours of play or so it was essentially 50 up then 50 down.

I think I'm handling it well. I didn't tilt at anyone last night when it got real bad. Just said nice hand and let it go. Got chatty with some nice regs which as a rec player is part of the fun. When I called it a night the last half hour had been so bad even the dealer commented on it lol.

I'm reading a lot and thinking about hands so that's good. I think my loose game chops might've always been a bit rusty because I leaned hard into online 6-max early on so my skills in tight and aggressive games got really good.

Overall, I'm going to add to my roll from my discretionary money each month. Debating if and when to take a shot at 20/40 to get out of the 8/16 muck.
04-21-2019 , 05:32 PM
Or maybe I should play online again to build experience back up...
04-21-2019 , 05:50 PM
I’m running at +5bb/hour for the last year, so I’m sucking up all the run good
04-21-2019 , 05:52 PM
I'm running at either +4 bb a session or -25 bb a session and there is no middle-ground
04-21-2019 , 06:24 PM
I'm still basically dead even lifetime over about a 265-hour sample. I have yet to be bitten by the variance bug but I'm bracing myself for when it finally happens.

My daily limit is 25BB. The quickest I've ever lost my whole 25BB is 2 hours once, 3 hours once and 5 hours twice. I have never had two straight sessions where I lose all 25BB.

This isn't a brag. This is every time I walk around a corner I wonder if there'll be a hammer coming at my face.
04-21-2019 , 06:40 PM
25 BB sounds like a good limit. Letting 50 go in one session was probably too masochistic. It's just hard to leave when you're seeing everyone else at the table make mistakes every hand.
04-21-2019 , 06:52 PM
Walking into a situation where you just KNOW that someone is throwing money away but still getting bit in the ass is the worst. It's also hard to walk away from a session where you're sucking up a disproportionate amount of beats from people you view as fish.

I usually become the fish when I decide to stay.
04-22-2019 , 07:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ninefingershuffle
I’m running at +5bb/hour for the last year, so I’m sucking up all the run good
You're playing full time? That's epic. Mixed in with all the singe session results, this is like "here's many hundreds of hours of crushing". nh
04-22-2019 , 08:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DougL
You're playing full time? That's epic. Mixed in with all the singe session results, this is like "here's many hundreds of hours of crushing". nh
No, I play about 20 hours a month so lol sample size.
04-22-2019 , 09:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DrHoldemPhD
25 BB sounds like a good limit. Letting 50 go in one session was probably too masochistic. It's just hard to leave when you're seeing everyone else at the table make mistakes every hand.
I always say I will have a stop loss, but seldom enforce it. But I'm just playing as a rec and value the time I get to play.

If I was going to set one it would probably be 30, but it's real tough to get up from a good game just because you are running bad. It's probably more important to be able to know when you are no longer playing your A game and let that guide you on when to quit.

I remember some epic swings back in the day so I am just trying to play good poker and ignore my graph. Heck, I can't remember the last time I studied like I have been. It's been fun.
04-22-2019 , 10:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ninefingershuffle
No, I play about 20 hours a month so lol sample size.


Is this at Hammond?
Mostly 20?
04-22-2019 , 11:29 AM
Stop loss.
Sto ploss
Sto PLO ss
sto PLOss
PLOss
PLO

Okay when I set a stop loss I'll play small steakz PLO
04-22-2019 , 11:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Just another guy
Is this at Hammond?
Mostly 20?
Yes, almost all 20/40 kill
04-22-2019 , 11:46 AM
Nice.
04-22-2019 , 06:30 PM
I thought there was a 6max stats thread in here? I can't seem to find it anywhere.

Also: Are there any session review groups still going? Or am I showing my age?

      
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