Quote:
Originally Posted by jdr0317
Of course, TDK seems to claim that this opponent is a monkey, so maybe we just go ahead and bet/call. Whatever.
Yeah after the couples post after yours, the guy was pretty awefull maniac so yeah easy 3bet pf ( seem the other guys behind in the blinds were not a threat to cap anything decent but only TT+ ,AQ+)
Pretty much a no brained bet Turn call down .
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZOMG_RIGGED!
He can bluff on the turn too. A lot of his equity comes from seeing the river. Some from obvious draws that you can charge now, and a lot of random **** on this board texture that isn't excited about calling the turn. Bet the turn, check back some rivers
.
About this, I ran some numbers before we had confirmation on the nut head TDK was playing and was assigning more realistic play and range .
After putting a decent ( tight side) c/r on the HJ, the turn hits his calling range around 30% top pair and 9% flushes while if you bet to fold weak one card flush, it represent 16% of his range and 9% his Ahigh nut flush draw range ( which he might c/r has a bluff some of them)
So around 40% of his range already crush the pair of 9 while betting to charge draws, we target draw for like 25% of the time.
Obv nothing is perfect but I am not too sure it is a clear bet when at least like 35-40% of our range is crush and having to count as well there might be some bluff too in his range he could force us to fold to a c/r on turn ( obv. versus any other opponent than TDK was confronting).
Last edited by Montrealcorp; 07-06-2017 at 04:06 PM.