Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkeyOnTilt
I'd say his range is 99+, AJo+, AJs+, KQs, KQ and QJs. I think against these two he'd bet twice with his entire range. I can probably just plug that into a calc to get an exact answer just posted it real time basically because I thought it was a tough spot.
In your view, is the bolded more of an optimistic or pessimistic assumption? You should get in the habit of thinking about two ranges to keep yourself honest. It's easy to get into the land of wishful thinking. So be optimistic, pessimistic, and then split the difference.
Even from this list, you can quickly estimate that you're not exactly doing great. The only hand you beat from the unpaired range is AQ and the only paired hands you beat are TT/99. If you're only beating one unpaired combo and two pairs (out of five unpaired combos as 6 pairs),
it's probably not a value raise.
Edit: Sorry -- The raise comment was probably for preflop and I got my mental lines crossed. I still don't think it's a great raise. Your hand is not that good. I think you're overly optimistic about your ability to extract value postflop. The reason is that you need to have both of the following true:
1) Your opponents will call you down with crap.
2) Your opponents will fold hands you want them to fold.
It's rare that you'll get both.
Last edited by Aaron W.; 11-30-2017 at 12:11 PM.